Title |
Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise
|
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Published in |
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, October 2003
|
DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2134014100 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
P. C. D. Milly, A. Cazenave, C. Gennero |
Abstract |
Using a global model of continental water balance, forced by interannual variations in precipitation and near-surface atmospheric temperature for the period 1981-1998, we estimate the sea-level changes associated with climate-driven changes in storage of water as snowpack, soil water, and ground water; storage in ice sheets and large lakes is not considered. The 1981-1998 trend is estimated to be 0.12 mm/yr, and substantial interannual fluctuations are inferred; for 1993-1998, the trend is 0.25 mm/yr. At the decadal time scale, the terrestrial contribution to eustatic (i.e., induced by mass exchange) sea-level rise is significantly smaller than the estimated steric (i.e., induced by density changes) trend for the same period, but is not negligibly small. In the model the sea-level rise is driven mainly by a downtrend in continental precipitation during the study period, which we believe was generated by natural variability in the climate system. |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
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United States | 3 | 4% |
South Africa | 1 | 1% |
Unknown | 81 | 95% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Researcher | 28 | 33% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 15 | 18% |
Student > Master | 11 | 13% |
Professor > Associate Professor | 9 | 11% |
Professor | 6 | 7% |
Other | 14 | 16% |
Unknown | 2 | 2% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Earth and Planetary Sciences | 43 | 51% |
Environmental Science | 16 | 19% |
Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 7 | 8% |
Engineering | 7 | 8% |
Computer Science | 1 | 1% |
Other | 2 | 2% |
Unknown | 9 | 11% |