| Title |
Do Rainfall Deficits Predict U.S.-Bound Migration from Rural Mexico? Evidence from the Mexican Census
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
Population Research and Policy Review, August 2012
|
| DOI | 10.1007/s11113-012-9251-8 |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
Raphael J. Nawrotzki, Fernando Riosmena, Lori M. Hunter |
| Abstract |
Environmental and climatic changes have shaped human mobility for thousands of years and research on the migration-environment connection has proliferated in the past several years. Even so, little work has focused on Latin America or on international movement. Given rural Mexico's dependency on primary sector activities involving various natural resources, and the existence of well-established transnational migrant networks, we investigate the association between rainfall patterns and U.S.-bound migration from rural locales, a topic of increasing policy relevance. The New Economics of Labor Migration (NELM) theory provides background, positing that migration represents a household-level risk management strategy. We use data from the year 2000 Mexican census for rural localities and socioeconomic and state-level precipitation data provided by the Mexican National Institute for Statistics and Geography. Multilevel models assess the impact of rainfall change on household-level international out-migration while controlling for relevant sociodemographic and economic factors. A decrease in precipitation is significantly associated with U.S.-bound migration, but only for dry Mexican states. This finding suggests that programs and policies aimed at reducing Mexico-U.S. migration should seek to diminish the climate/weather vulnerability of rural Mexican households, for example by supporting sustainable irrigation systems and subsidizing drought-resistant crops. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 2 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 1 | 50% |
| Unknown | 1 | 50% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Members of the public | 2 | 100% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 158 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 4 | 3% |
| Mexico | 2 | 1% |
| Germany | 1 | <1% |
| Australia | 1 | <1% |
| Netherlands | 1 | <1% |
| Austria | 1 | <1% |
| Canada | 1 | <1% |
| Unknown | 147 | 93% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Researcher | 34 | 22% |
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 32 | 20% |
| Student > Master | 18 | 11% |
| Student > Doctoral Student | 13 | 8% |
| Other | 9 | 6% |
| Other | 21 | 13% |
| Unknown | 31 | 20% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Social Sciences | 37 | 23% |
| Environmental Science | 29 | 18% |
| Economics, Econometrics and Finance | 17 | 11% |
| Earth and Planetary Sciences | 7 | 4% |
| Arts and Humanities | 5 | 3% |
| Other | 17 | 11% |
| Unknown | 46 | 29% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 28. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 23 June 2021.
All research outputs
#1,389,449
of 25,769,258 outputs
Outputs from Population Research and Policy Review
#59
of 703 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#8,032
of 187,495 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Population Research and Policy Review
#1
of 3 outputs
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