Title |
Heat stress and mortality in Lisbon Part I. model construction and validation
|
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Published in |
International Journal of Biometeorology, August 2002
|
DOI | 10.1007/s00484-002-0143-1 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
Suraje Dessai |
Abstract |
Global climate change will have direct impacts on human health, including increased mortality due to heat stress and heat waves. An empirical-statistical model for heat stress is constructed for the city of Lisbon using the June-August months of the observational period 1980-1998. The model uses the regression of an aggregate dose-response relationship between maximum temperature and excess heat-related deaths, based on the difference between observed and expected deaths. The model is validated by correlation and residual analysis. The mean annual heat-related mortality for the period 1980-1998 was between 5.4 and 6 deaths per 100,000 depending on the method used to calculate expected deaths. Both validation methods show that the model has a moderate to high accuracy in modelling heat-related deaths compared to the observed record. |
X Demographics
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
United Kingdom | 1 | 25% |
Unknown | 3 | 75% |
Demographic breakdown
Type | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Members of the public | 3 | 75% |
Scientists | 1 | 25% |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
United Kingdom | 2 | 2% |
Germany | 1 | 1% |
Malaysia | 1 | 1% |
Canada | 1 | 1% |
Korea, Republic of | 1 | 1% |
United States | 1 | 1% |
Unknown | 79 | 92% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Researcher | 25 | 29% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 23 | 27% |
Student > Master | 14 | 16% |
Professor > Associate Professor | 4 | 5% |
Professor | 4 | 5% |
Other | 9 | 10% |
Unknown | 7 | 8% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Environmental Science | 23 | 27% |
Earth and Planetary Sciences | 11 | 13% |
Medicine and Dentistry | 9 | 10% |
Engineering | 7 | 8% |
Social Sciences | 5 | 6% |
Other | 14 | 16% |
Unknown | 17 | 20% |