Title |
An Online Risk Index for the Cross-Sectional Prediction of New HIV Chlamydia, and Gonorrhea Diagnoses Across U.S. Counties and Across Years
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Published in |
AIDS and Behavior, February 2018
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DOI | 10.1007/s10461-018-2046-0 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
Man-pui Sally Chan, Sophie Lohmann, Alex Morales, Chengxiang Zhai, Lyle Ungar, David R. Holtgrave, Dolores Albarracín |
Abstract |
The present study evaluated the potential use of Twitter data for providing risk indices of STIs. We developed online risk indices (ORIs) based on tweets to predict new HIV, gonorrhea, and chlamydia diagnoses, across U.S. counties and across 5 years. We analyzed over one hundred million tweets from 2009 to 2013 using open-vocabulary techniques and estimated the ORIs for a particular year by entering tweets from the same year into multiple semantic models (one for each year). The ORIs were moderately to strongly associated with the actual rates (.35 < rs < .68 for 93% of models), both nationwide and when applied to single states (California, Florida, and New York). Later models were slightly better than older ones at predicting gonorrhea and chlamydia, but not at predicting HIV. The proposed technique using free social media data provides signals of community health at a high temporal and spatial resolution. |
X Demographics
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
United States | 3 | 50% |
Kazakhstan | 1 | 17% |
Unknown | 2 | 33% |
Demographic breakdown
Type | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Members of the public | 4 | 67% |
Practitioners (doctors, other healthcare professionals) | 1 | 17% |
Scientists | 1 | 17% |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Unknown | 54 | 100% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Student > Bachelor | 14 | 26% |
Researcher | 7 | 13% |
Student > Master | 5 | 9% |
Student > Doctoral Student | 4 | 7% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 4 | 7% |
Other | 8 | 15% |
Unknown | 12 | 22% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Psychology | 15 | 28% |
Social Sciences | 6 | 11% |
Nursing and Health Professions | 6 | 11% |
Computer Science | 3 | 6% |
Business, Management and Accounting | 3 | 6% |
Other | 6 | 11% |
Unknown | 15 | 28% |