| Title |
Burden of high fracture probability worldwide: secular increases 2010–2040
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
Osteoporosis International, May 2015
|
| DOI | 10.1007/s00198-015-3154-6 |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
A. Odén, E. V. McCloskey, J. A. Kanis, N. C. Harvey, H. Johansson |
| Abstract |
The number of individuals aged 50 years or more at high risk of osteoporotic fracture worldwide in 2010 was estimated at 158 million and is set to double by 2040. The aim of this study was to quantify the number of individuals worldwide aged 50 years or more at high risk of osteoporotic fracture in 2010 and 2040. A threshold of high fracture probability was set at the age-specific 10-year probability of a major fracture (clinical vertebral, forearm, humeral or hip fracture) which was equivalent to that of a woman with a BMI of 24 kg/m(2) and a prior fragility fracture but no other clinical risk factors. The prevalence of high risk was determined worldwide and by continent using all available country-specific FRAX models and applied the population demography for each country. Twenty-one million men and 137 million women had a fracture probability at or above the threshold in the world for the year 2010. The greatest number of men and women at high risk were from Asia (55 %). Worldwide, the number of high-risk individuals is expected to double over the next 40 years. We conclude that individuals with high probability of osteoporotic fractures comprise a very significant disease burden to society, particularly in Asia, and that this burden is set to increase markedly in the future. These analyses provide a platform for the evaluation of risk assessment and intervention strategies. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 9 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 2 | 22% |
| United Kingdom | 1 | 11% |
| Romania | 1 | 11% |
| Switzerland | 1 | 11% |
| Netherlands | 1 | 11% |
| Unknown | 3 | 33% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Members of the public | 6 | 67% |
| Scientists | 2 | 22% |
| Science communicators (journalists, bloggers, editors) | 1 | 11% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 327 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1 | <1% |
| United States | 1 | <1% |
| Unknown | 325 | 99% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Student > Master | 44 | 13% |
| Student > Bachelor | 41 | 13% |
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 34 | 10% |
| Researcher | 33 | 10% |
| Student > Postgraduate | 22 | 7% |
| Other | 57 | 17% |
| Unknown | 96 | 29% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Medicine and Dentistry | 72 | 22% |
| Engineering | 28 | 9% |
| Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology | 25 | 8% |
| Nursing and Health Professions | 21 | 6% |
| Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 15 | 5% |
| Other | 50 | 15% |
| Unknown | 116 | 35% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 111. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 02 December 2021.
All research outputs
#318,287
of 22,807,037 outputs
Outputs from Osteoporosis International
#33
of 3,609 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#3,724
of 266,679 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Osteoporosis International
#2
of 99 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 22,807,037 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 98th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 3,609 research outputs from this source. They typically receive more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 7.6. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its peers.
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We're also able to compare this research output to 99 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 97% of its contemporaries.