| Title |
Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth Rates
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
Demography, July 2018
|
| DOI | 10.1007/s13524-018-0690-7 |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
Alan Barreca, Olivier Deschenes, Melanie Guldi |
| Abstract |
We estimate the effects of temperature shocks on birth rates in the United States between 1931 and 2010. We find that days with a mean temperature above 80°F cause a large decline in birth rates 8 to 10 months later. Unlike prior studies, we demonstrate that the initial decline is followed by a partial rebound in births over the next few months, implying that populations mitigate some of the fertility cost by shifting conception month. This shift helps explain the observed peak in late-summer births in the United States. We also present new evidence that hot weather most likely harms fertility via reproductive health as opposed to sexual activity. Historical evidence suggests that air conditioning could be used to substantially offset the fertility costs of high temperatures. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 74 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 18 | 24% |
| India | 6 | 8% |
| Germany | 2 | 3% |
| Spain | 1 | 1% |
| South Sudan | 1 | 1% |
| Kuwait | 1 | 1% |
| United Kingdom | 1 | 1% |
| Pakistan | 1 | 1% |
| Netherlands | 1 | 1% |
| Other | 9 | 12% |
| Unknown | 33 | 45% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Members of the public | 54 | 73% |
| Scientists | 13 | 18% |
| Science communicators (journalists, bloggers, editors) | 4 | 5% |
| Practitioners (doctors, other healthcare professionals) | 3 | 4% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 123 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | 1 | <1% |
| Unknown | 122 | 99% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 26 | 21% |
| Researcher | 16 | 13% |
| Student > Doctoral Student | 10 | 8% |
| Student > Master | 9 | 7% |
| Student > Bachelor | 8 | 7% |
| Other | 18 | 15% |
| Unknown | 36 | 29% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Economics, Econometrics and Finance | 31 | 25% |
| Social Sciences | 17 | 14% |
| Environmental Science | 9 | 7% |
| Medicine and Dentistry | 5 | 4% |
| Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 4 | 3% |
| Other | 13 | 11% |
| Unknown | 44 | 36% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 335. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 22 September 2023.
All research outputs
#100,667
of 25,736,439 outputs
Outputs from Demography
#24
of 2,023 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#2,131
of 342,579 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Demography
#1
of 24 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,736,439 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 2,023 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 27.9. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 98% of its peers.
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We're also able to compare this research output to 24 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 95% of its contemporaries.