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Are election results more unpredictable? A forecasting test

Overview of attention for article published in Political Science Research and Methods, May 2019
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • Among the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#44 of 548)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (94th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (90th percentile)

Mentioned by

news
2 news outlets
twitter
36 X users

Citations

dimensions_citation
25 Dimensions

Readers on

mendeley
14 Mendeley
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Title
Are election results more unpredictable? A forecasting test
Published in
Political Science Research and Methods, May 2019
DOI 10.1017/psrm.2019.24
Authors

Richard Nadeau, Ruth Dassonneville, Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Philippe Mongrain

X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 36 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley readers

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 14 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Unknown 14 100%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 3 21%
Other 2 14%
Student > Doctoral Student 2 14%
Professor > Associate Professor 2 14%
Professor 1 7%
Other 1 7%
Unknown 3 21%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Social Sciences 9 64%
Arts and Humanities 1 7%
Unknown 4 29%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 44. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 25 June 2022.
All research outputs
#960,861
of 25,732,188 outputs
Outputs from Political Science Research and Methods
#44
of 548 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#20,907
of 365,142 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Political Science Research and Methods
#2
of 20 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,732,188 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 96th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 548 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 20.0. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 91% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 365,142 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 94% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 20 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 90% of its contemporaries.