Title |
Climate shocks and the timing of migration from Mexico
|
---|---|
Published in |
Population and Environment, March 2016
|
DOI | 10.1007/s11111-016-0255-x |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
Raphael J. Nawrotzki, Jack DeWaard |
Abstract |
Although evidence is increasing that climate shocks influence human migration, it is unclear exactly when people migrate after a climate shock. A climate shock might be followed by an immediate migration response. Alternatively, migration, as an adaptive strategy of last resort, might be delayed and employed only after available in-situ (in-place) adaptive strategies are exhausted. In this paper, we explore the temporally lagged association between a climate shock and future migration. Using multilevel event-history models, we analyze the risk of Mexico-U.S. migration over a seven-year period after a climate shock. Consistent with a delayed response pattern, we find that the risk of migration is low immediately after a climate shock and increases as households pursue and cycle through in-situ adaptive strategies available to them. However, about three years after the climate shock, the risk of migration decreases, suggesting that households are eventually successful in adapting in-situ. |
X Demographics
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
United Kingdom | 2 | 33% |
United States | 1 | 17% |
Unknown | 3 | 50% |
Demographic breakdown
Type | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Members of the public | 4 | 67% |
Scientists | 2 | 33% |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Mexico | 2 | 2% |
Austria | 1 | <1% |
Unknown | 121 | 98% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Researcher | 28 | 23% |
Student > Master | 19 | 15% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 18 | 15% |
Student > Doctoral Student | 9 | 7% |
Professor > Associate Professor | 3 | 2% |
Other | 13 | 10% |
Unknown | 34 | 27% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Social Sciences | 34 | 27% |
Environmental Science | 20 | 16% |
Economics, Econometrics and Finance | 15 | 12% |
Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 3 | 2% |
Earth and Planetary Sciences | 3 | 2% |
Other | 5 | 4% |
Unknown | 44 | 35% |