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Optimal temperature for malaria transmission is dramatically lower than previously predicted

Overview of attention for article published in Ecology Letters, October 2012
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  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (97th percentile)

Mentioned by

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17 news outlets
blogs
7 blogs
policy
2 policy sources
twitter
23 X users

Citations

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461 Dimensions

Readers on

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619 Mendeley
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Title
Optimal temperature for malaria transmission is dramatically lower than previously predicted
Published in
Ecology Letters, October 2012
DOI 10.1111/ele.12015
Pubmed ID
Authors

Erin A. Mordecai, Krijn P. Paaijmans, Leah R. Johnson, Christian Balzer, Tal Ben‐Horin, Emily de Moor, Amy McNally, Samraat Pawar, Sadie J. Ryan, Thomas C. Smith, Kevin D. Lafferty

Abstract

The ecology of mosquito vectors and malaria parasites affect the incidence, seasonal transmission and geographical range of malaria. Most malaria models to date assume constant or linear responses of mosquito and parasite life-history traits to temperature, predicting optimal transmission at 31 °C. These models are at odds with field observations of transmission dating back nearly a century. We build a model with more realistic ecological assumptions about the thermal physiology of insects. Our model, which includes empirically derived nonlinear thermal responses, predicts optimal malaria transmission at 25 °C (6 °C lower than previous models). Moreover, the model predicts that transmission decreases dramatically at temperatures > 28 °C, altering predictions about how climate change will affect malaria. A large data set on malaria transmission risk in Africa validates both the 25 °C optimum and the decline above 28 °C. Using these more accurate nonlinear thermal-response models will aid in understanding the effects of current and future temperature regimes on disease transmission.

X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 23 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley readers

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 619 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
United States 11 2%
United Kingdom 5 <1%
France 2 <1%
Mexico 2 <1%
Spain 2 <1%
Tanzania, United Republic of 1 <1%
Portugal 1 <1%
Brazil 1 <1%
Canada 1 <1%
Other 5 <1%
Unknown 588 95%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 131 21%
Researcher 103 17%
Student > Master 97 16%
Student > Bachelor 60 10%
Student > Doctoral Student 35 6%
Other 94 15%
Unknown 99 16%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Agricultural and Biological Sciences 211 34%
Environmental Science 83 13%
Medicine and Dentistry 43 7%
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology 29 5%
Mathematics 18 3%
Other 111 18%
Unknown 124 20%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 203. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 30 November 2023.
All research outputs
#194,044
of 25,387,668 outputs
Outputs from Ecology Letters
#54
of 3,116 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#952
of 191,794 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Ecology Letters
#2
of 44 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,387,668 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 3,116 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 29.3. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 98% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 191,794 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 44 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 97% of its contemporaries.