Title |
Suggestions for chikungunya control based on a sensitivity analysis of a mathematical model.
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Published in |
Revista Peruana de Medicina Experimental y Salud Pública, March 2016
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DOI | 10.17843/rpmesp.2016.331.2017 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
David Requena, José L Segovia-Juárez |
Abstract |
Chikungunya fever seriously affects peoples' health and causes chronic joint pain and even disability. Chikungunya is transmitted by the bite of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Outbreaks have been reported in throughout the world, including Latin America. Mathematical modeling studies of these outbreaks have calculated the values of various epidemiological parameters. Based on them, a mathematical model was prepared to simulate a chikungunya outbreak in a local population, which was transmitted from an neighboring infected population. A sensitivity and uncertainty analysis revealed that the mosquito-to-human and human-to-mosquito transmission rates are the variables with the highest correlation with the number infected people, which were greatest at 60 days after the first case in the neighboring population. Therefore, it is recommended to take this into consideration when planning policies to control such variables as isolation of infected people, distribution of mosquito netting and repellents, fumigation, among others. |
X Demographics
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
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Unknown | 1 | 100% |
Demographic breakdown
Type | Count | As % |
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Members of the public | 1 | 100% |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
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United Kingdom | 1 | 2% |
United States | 1 | 2% |
Unknown | 41 | 95% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
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Researcher | 6 | 14% |
Student > Postgraduate | 6 | 14% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 5 | 12% |
Other | 4 | 9% |
Student > Master | 4 | 9% |
Other | 7 | 16% |
Unknown | 11 | 26% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 11 | 26% |
Mathematics | 4 | 9% |
Medicine and Dentistry | 4 | 9% |
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology | 2 | 5% |
Arts and Humanities | 2 | 5% |
Other | 9 | 21% |
Unknown | 11 | 26% |