An elevated fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 23 is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease and mortality in patients with kidney disease. The relationship between FGF23 and cause-specific mortality in the general population is unknown.
To investigate the association of elevated FGF23 with risk of cause-specific mortality in a racially and ethnically diverse urban general population.
The Northern Manhattan Study is a population-based prospective cohort study. Residents who were >39 years old, with no history of stroke were enrolled between 1993 and 2001. Participants with available blood samples for baseline FGF23 testing were included in the current study (n=2525).
Cause-specific death events.
A total of 1198 deaths (474 vascular, 612 non-vascular, 112 unknown cause) occurred during a median follow-up of 14 years. Compared to participants in the lowest FGF23 quintile, those in the highest quintile had a 2.07-fold higher risk (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.45, 2.94) of vascular death and a 1.64-fold higher risk (95% CI 1.22, 2.20) of non-vascular death in fully adjusted models. Higher FGF23 was independently associated with increased risk of mortality due to cancer, but only in Hispanic participants (hazard ratio per 1 unit increase in ln FGF23 of 1.87; 95% CI 1.40, 2.50; P for interaction = 0.01).
Elevated FGF23 was independently associated with increased risk of vascular and non-vascular mortality in a diverse general population, and with increased risk of cancer death specifically in Hispanic individuals.