Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change

Overview of attention for article published in Nature Human Behaviour, February 2023

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In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
Good Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (79th percentile)

Mentioned by

news: 11 news outlets
blogs: 2 blogs
policy: 1 policy source
twitter: 372 X users

facebook: 2 Facebook pages
reddit: 11 Redditors
bluesky: 2 Bluesky users

Readers on

mendeley: 96 Mendeley

So far, Altmetric has seen 431 X posts from 372 X users, with an upper bound of 5,191,289 followers.

@scatterfebruary @jojojo7654 https://t.co/y1zqjioC0J https://t.co/7CeUeywloU I mean... it's really not hard to find the baselines even. Extrapolate from there.

https://t.co/48tie0NOUk https://t.co/RaM4fXtZJP

https://t.co/QgnTI6kF19 https://t.co/SkgRPeZCs3 https://t.co/O3CkoQ1BF5 https://t.co/SDIh1S56Fm

"However, scientists were more accurate if they had scientific expertise in a prediction domain, were interdisciplinary, used simpler models and based predictions on prior data." https://t.co/fQEzUf3o8a

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