VURx is a validated tool that reliably predicts spontaneous vesicoureteral reflux(VUR) resolution or ≥2 grade improvement when diagnosed <24 months old. We aimed to study the VURx in children >2 years of age.
Children diagnosed with primary VUR at >24 mo with ≥2 voiding cystourethrograms <18 yo were identified and scored with the VURx, a 6-point scale based on gender, reflux grade, ureteral abnormalities, and reflux timing. Proportional sub-distribution hazard models for competing risks identified variables associated with resolution/improvement at different time points.
271 patients (21M, 250F) met inclusion criteria; mean age 4.0±2.1 years, median VUR grade 2. Resolution/improvement by VURx was: 1- 1(100%); 2- 25(67.6%); 3- 48(37%); 4- 18(21.4%); 5/6- 4(18.2%). Female gender (p=0.005) and VUR timing (late-filling, p=0.002; early/mid-filling, p=<0.001) independently predicted non-resolution. Median resolution time(months) based per VURx was: ≤2- 15.6(95%CI 11.0-13.8); 3- 34.7(25.4-44.1); 4- 55.9(40.1-inf); ≥5- 30.3(29.5-inf). High-grade(IV/V) VUR was not associated with resolution at any point. Ureteral abnormalities were associated with lack of resolution in the first 12 -18 months (HR=0.29; 95% CI(0.29-0.80)) but not in later follow-up. VURx scores of 3, 4 and 5 were significantly associated with lack of resolution/improvement compared to VURx score ≤2 (p = 0.031).
VURx reliably predicts primary VUR improvement/resolution in children diagnosed at ≥24 mo. Spontaneous resolution/improvement is less likely as VURx score and time from diagnosis increase.