Sergei Bedrikovetski, Jianpeng Zhang, Warren Seow, Luke Traeger, James W Moore, Johan Verjans, Gustavo Carneiro, Tarik Sammour

Lymph node (LN) metastases are an important determinant of survival in patients with colon cancer, but remain difficult to accurately diagnose on preoperative imaging. This study aimed to develop and evaluate a deep learning model to predict LN status on preoperative staging CT. In this ambispective diagnostic study, a deep learning model using a ResNet-50 framework was developed to predict LN status based on preoperative staging CT. Patients with a preoperative staging abdominopelvic CT who underwent surgical resection for colon cancer were enrolled. Data were retrospectively collected from February 2007 to October 2019 and randomly separated into training, validation, and testing cohort 1. To prospectively test the deep learning model, data for testing cohort 2 was collected from October 2019 to July 2021. Diagnostic performance measures were assessed by the AUROC. A total of 1,201 patients (median [range] age, 72 [28-98 years]; 653 [54.4%] male) fulfilled the eligibility criteria and were included in the training (n = 401), validation (n = 100), testing cohort 1 (n = 500) and testing cohort 2 (n = 200). The deep learning model achieved an AUROC of 0.619 (95% CI 0.507-0.731) in the validation cohort. In testing cohort 1 and testing cohort 2, the AUROC was 0.542 (95% CI 0.489-0.595) and 0.486 (95% CI 0.403-0.568), respectively. A deep learning model based on a ResNet-50 framework does not predict LN status on preoperative staging CT in patients with colon cancer.