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Crowd prediction systems: Markets, polls, and elite forecasters

Overview of attention for article published in International Journal of Forecasting, January 2024
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 25% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (90th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (87th percentile)

Mentioned by

blogs
1 blog
twitter
8 X users

Readers on

mendeley
3 Mendeley
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Title
Crowd prediction systems: Markets, polls, and elite forecasters
Published in
International Journal of Forecasting, January 2024
DOI 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.12.009
Authors

Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Barbara Mellers, Philip Tetlock

X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 8 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley readers

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 3 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Unknown 3 100%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 1 33%
Student > Master 1 33%
Unknown 1 33%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Economics, Econometrics and Finance 1 33%
Unknown 2 67%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 17. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 25 February 2024.
All research outputs
#2,194,980
of 25,927,633 outputs
Outputs from International Journal of Forecasting
#64
of 811 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#33,656
of 362,845 outputs
Outputs of similar age from International Journal of Forecasting
#2
of 16 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,927,633 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 91st percentile: it's in the top 10% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 811 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 10.1. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 91% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 362,845 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 90% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 16 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done well, scoring higher than 87% of its contemporaries.