Modellering i epidemiologien kan deles inn i enten matematisk eller statistisk. En av mine favorittartikler om statistisk modellering er denne fra Galit Shmueli. Hun definerer tre kategorier av typer spørsmål man kan svare på med statistiske modeller: pre…
"Conflation between explanation and prediction is common, yet the distinction must be understood for progressing scientific knowledge." Shmueli (2011) "To Explain or to Predict?" https://arxiv.org/abs/1101.0891 The Appendix includes a nice example where…
🔵Warsaw Thursday, 24 April, 7:00pm CET Topic: To Explain or to Predict? projecteuclid.org/journals/sta...
244/250 is To Explain or to Predict? We really should be teaching this in our stats classes! I think, though, there is an argument to be made for predictive modeling that has post-hoc investigation to understand why it predicts so well