Forecaster’s Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation

Overview of attention for article published in Statistical Science, February 2017

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In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
Among the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#17 of 760)
High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (96th percentile)

Mentioned by

news: 5 news outlets
blogs: 1 blog

policy: 1 policy source
twitter: 6 X users

Readers on

mendeley: 164 Mendeley

So far, Altmetric has seen 7 X posts from 6 X users, with an upper bound of 13,898 followers.

RT @reichlab: @NateSilver538 I'll also say that it doesn't feel entirely "fair" to the models to cherry-pick the evaluation of them at argu…

@NateSilver538 I'll also say that it doesn't feel entirely "fair" to the models to cherry-pick the evaluation of them at arguably the moment of most extreme change in the entire dataset to date. It's the forecaster's dilemma! https://t.co/JN3IPllgtn htt…

RT @ThordisLT: Very proud of this paper with Sebastian Lerch, Tilmann Gneiting and Francesco Ravazzolo: https://t.co/PBUT9KNNu8 https://t.…

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