Note the #HCCA weighted consensus follows FSSE + my PhD work on The Prediction of Intensity Model Error (PRIME) forecasting scheme (https://t.co/TLWfACKLSZ). However, we weighted an ensemble based on model performance in environmental conditions and not…
@webberweather I think this a good research question, how does genesis forecast performance change based on the environment. I asked this question for intensity forecasts: https://t.co/yanJe6gxEA, https://t.co/TLWfACKLSZ, https://t.co/TWAldRVKZ6. It wo…
Based on this work, we unequally weighted intensity models based on the "environmental situation" to get a best guess forecast. Read more here: https://t.co/O9Vs147j26
RT @KieranBhatia: https://t.co/HGShVGu81k https://t.co/74Xv6esdSW https://t.co/O9Vs147j26 Based on work from my PhD, #Florence seems to be…