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@KSoltisAnderson @NateSilver538 We wrote some time back about how people routinely miscalculate probabilities of winning elections (in a later paper we extended this to football games) https://t.co/5SLDFYdjB5
@KSoltisAnderson @NateSilver538 We wrote some time back about how people routinely miscalculate probabilities of winning elections (in a later paper we extended this to football games) https://t.co/5SLDFYdjB5
Here's a link to the Public Opinion Quarterly article https://t.co/5SLDFYdRqD
RT @ElectProject: @mjbsp @BrendanNyhan We find wishful thinking further affects turnout, conditioned on education, whereby more educated pe…