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Prediction market accuracy in the long run

Overview of attention for article published in International Journal of Forecasting, April 2008
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • One of the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#5 of 1,062)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (80th percentile)

Readers on

mendeley
170 Mendeley
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Article details
Title
Prediction market accuracy in the long run
Published in
International Journal of Forecasting, April 2008
DOI 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.03.007
Authors

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Timeline Attention over time Attention Score history
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Activity
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X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 41 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley demographics

Mendeley demographics

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 170 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
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Geographical breakdown

Geographical breakdown
Country Count As %
Germany 5 3%
United States 2 1%
Canada 2 1%
United Kingdom 1 <1%
Brazil 1 <1%
Australia 1 <1%
Unknown 158 93%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status
Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 40 24%
Student > Master 29 17%
Student > Bachelor 21 12%
Professor > Associate Professor 12 7%
Researcher 10 6%
Other 32 19%
Unknown 26 15%
Readers by discipline
Readers by discipline Count As %
Business, Management and Accounting 46 27%
Computer Science 25 15%
Economics, Econometrics and Finance 24 14%
Social Sciences 19 11%
Engineering 7 4%
Other 23 14%
Unknown 26 15%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 305. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 07 October 2026.
All research outputs
#143,221
of 34,541,249 outputs
Outputs from International Journal of Forecasting
#5
of 1,062 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#217
of 138,428 outputs
Outputs of similar age from International Journal of Forecasting
#1
of 5 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 34,541,249 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 1,062 research outputs from this source. They typically receive more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 9.8. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 138,428 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 5 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has scored higher than all of them