Prediction market accuracy in the long run

Overview of attention for article published in International Journal of Forecasting, April 2008

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In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
One of the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#5 of 1,062)
High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (80th percentile)

Mentioned by

news: 27 news outlets
blogs: 7 blogs
policy: 1 policy source
twitter: 41 X users

wikipedia: 3 Wikipedia pages
reddit: 30 Redditors
q&a: 2 Q&A threads
bluesky: 2 Bluesky users

Readers on

mendeley: 170 Mendeley

So far, Altmetric has seen 45 X posts from 41 X users, with an upper bound of 1,527,717 followers.

@LeBossestla @Mileistesfr https://t.co/hXGoIdldY9

@BotecodoUnited @mestretailon Mercado de apostas prevê resultados melhor que pesquisas. https://t.co/rgEYr627UP

@NishikiYotsuba @AezzieUwU Here are some: https://t.co/PXhFswnNLq https://t.co/Ayclh6BngT https://t.co/4hUxXBEoQd

@billscher Prediction markets work precisely because they're mostly poll aggregators with the added benefit of including other relevant information. https://t.co/pPbHgCD7c8

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