↓ Skip to main content

How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts

Overview of attention for article published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, March 2018
Altmetric Badge

About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • Among the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#46 of 2,995)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (96th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (93rd percentile)

Mentioned by

news
4 news outlets
blogs
1 blog
policy
2 policy sources
twitter
27 X users
reddit
1 Redditor
bluesky
1 Bluesky user
podcasts
1 podcast

Readers on

mendeley
173 Mendeley
You are seeing a free-to-access but limited selection of the activity Altmetric has collected about this research output. Click here to find out more.
Article details
Title
How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts
Published in
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, March 2018
DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.11.001
Authors

Login to access the Attention Digest and the Sentiment Analysis related to this output.

Timeline Attention over time Attention Score history
Login to access the full charts related to this output.
Activity
Login to access the full charts related to this output.
X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 27 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley demographics

Mendeley demographics

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 173 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Login to view Mendeley reader trends over time.

Geographical breakdown

Geographical breakdown
Country Count As %
Estonia 1 <1%
Unknown 172 99%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status
Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 26 15%
Student > Master 24 14%
Researcher 17 10%
Professor 8 5%
Student > Doctoral Student 7 4%
Other 25 14%
Unknown 66 38%
Readers by discipline
Readers by discipline Count As %
Engineering 22 13%
Energy 18 10%
Economics, Econometrics and Finance 13 8%
Business, Management and Accounting 11 6%
Environmental Science 7 4%
Other 29 17%
Unknown 73 42%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 68. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 08 December 2025.
All research outputs
#790,134
of 34,307,719 outputs
Outputs from Technological Forecasting and Social Change
#46
of 2,995 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#13,799
of 373,844 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Technological Forecasting and Social Change
#3
of 48 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 34,307,719 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 97th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 2,995 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 12.0. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 98% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 373,844 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 96% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 48 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 93% of its contemporaries.