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Why polls fail to predict elections

Overview of attention for article published in Journal of Big Data, October 2021
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • One of the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#9 of 537)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (97th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (92nd percentile)

Mentioned by

news
7 news outlets
twitter
39 X users
reddit
5 Redditors
podcasts
1 podcast

Readers on

mendeley
89 Mendeley
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Article details
Title
Why polls fail to predict elections
Published in
Journal of Big Data, October 2021
DOI 10.1186/s40537-021-00525-8
Authors

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Timeline Attention over time Attention Score history
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Activity
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X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 39 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley demographics

Mendeley demographics

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 89 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
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Geographical breakdown

Geographical breakdown
Country Count As %
Unknown 89 100%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status
Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Master 14 16%
Student > Ph. D. Student 8 9%
Lecturer 4 4%
Student > Doctoral Student 4 4%
Professor 3 3%
Other 12 13%
Unknown 44 49%
Readers by discipline
Readers by discipline Count As %
Computer Science 15 17%
Social Sciences 12 13%
Business, Management and Accounting 4 4%
Physics and Astronomy 3 3%
Medicine and Dentistry 3 3%
Other 8 9%
Unknown 44 49%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 95. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 30 January 2026.
All research outputs
#568,888
of 34,400,738 outputs
Outputs from Journal of Big Data
#9
of 537 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#11,056
of 472,019 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Journal of Big Data
#1
of 14 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 34,400,738 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 98th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 537 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 10.7. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 98% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 472,019 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 97% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 14 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 92% of its contemporaries.