Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production: https://t.co/2vq9AUDYtb Ungated full paper (PDF): https://t.co/5lxAtpCbJR
@EnneDji @moreau1_quentin @cortisquared @Goulran_ Sinon il y a des gens qui ont fait des vrais études empiriques et sans surprise, trouvent un lien : - https://t.co/37iGkWhy4m - https://t.co/U4JJ2KJmND
Studie uit 2015 (https://t.co/vZYieEagxe) toonde al aan dat noordelijk gelegen landen wel baat hebben aan hogere temperaturen en dat deze baten opwegen tegen negatieve gevolgen zoals zeespiegelstijging of dooi van permafrost zoals in vrtnws artikel wordt b
@EarnmyV @ChrisMartzWX For comfort 20C is optimum at any given time. For societal productivity including agriculture, the average annual temperature optimum is about 13C - the same temperature as when the global average is about the same at ~ 320ppm. https
@mic12052 @ejwwest @TonyClimate What was that about productivity? https://t.co/9LwPHVpCWo
@ASvanevik On this topic, this was one of my favourite papers to read a couple of years back: https://t.co/CccL9nN4Og - Actually really fun to regress climate on other economic and demographic variables, then play around with electricity use as a simpl
@victorianoi It’s much more complicated (an interesting) than a (misleading) scatter chart. For starters, few references: https://t.co/VcTENRMLc3 https://t.co/rFzeSDgzXp https://t.co/FhBqgGGzpL
RT @kikollan: 5] El calor enfría la economía… De hecho, un estudio de Nature señaló la temperatura ideal para la actividad económica: unos…
RT @kikollan: 5] El calor enfría la economía… De hecho, un estudio de Nature señaló la temperatura ideal para la actividad económica: unos…
5] El calor enfría la economía… De hecho, un estudio de Nature señaló la temperatura ideal para la actividad económica: unos 13 grados de media anual, tipo Francia. Con más frío la economía se ralentiza, y con más calor, se ralentiza aún más. https://t.c
@PKashwan Its just a special case of this paper: https://t.co/uJK7BgFWEf. or maybe this one https://t.co/FYeBGiSrYF
RT @FedeeForte: Y si... A partir de temperaturas arriba de los 15 grados, el PIB se evapora... #TeamPaísFrescoyDesarrollado (Fuente: Globa…
RT @FedeeForte: Y si... A partir de temperaturas arriba de los 15 grados, el PIB se evapora... #TeamPaísFrescoyDesarrollado (Fuente: Globa…
RT @FedeeForte: Y si... A partir de temperaturas arriba de los 15 grados, el PIB se evapora... #TeamPaísFrescoyDesarrollado (Fuente: Globa…
RT @FedeeForte: Y si... A partir de temperaturas arriba de los 15 grados, el PIB se evapora... #TeamPaísFrescoyDesarrollado (Fuente: Globa…
Y si... A partir de temperaturas arriba de los 15 grados, el PIB se evapora... #TeamPaísFrescoyDesarrollado (Fuente: Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production (2015) https://t.co/z1MLjwFZOd) cc @ignachoruiz @lmoraalfonsin https://t.c
RT @climateinteract: @climateconomics In Burke 2015 (https://t.co/9Xz341hqq3) see Extended Data Figure 6. We're referring to the "Pooled re…
@climateconomics In Burke 2015 (https://t.co/9Xz341hqq3) see Extended Data Figure 6. We're referring to the "Pooled response, long-run effect" scenario. https://t.co/sn39dfxpHX
@Neuropa_ @poprawnym2 https://t.co/v0zXAD7FQS https://t.co/NKKhIWMvUX bo może za trudno jest szukać
RT @rustneversleepz: @AndrewDessler ... ... claims that the "economic models are basically made up", or "is not based on *𝙖𝙣𝙮* theory or da…
@AndrewDessler ... ... claims that the "economic models are basically made up", or "is not based on *𝙖𝙣𝙮* theory or data". Are you implying that, say, @MarshallBBurke, et al.,👇is based on *no* theory? *No* data? Whereas Pindyck's adaptation assertions som
RT @TheClimatist: ישראל תפגע כלכלית גם בלי קשר לפגיעה בדמוקרטיה? מסתבר שיש טמפרטורה אידיאלית לפעילות כלכלית - 13 מעלות. משם, הצמיחה הכלכלי…
ישראל תפגע כלכלית גם בלי קשר לפגיעה בדמוקרטיה? מסתבר שיש טמפרטורה אידיאלית לפעילות כלכלית - 13 מעלות. משם, הצמיחה הכלכלית יורדת בחדות ככל שחם יותר. מחקרים מראים כי התחממות בלתי מרוסנת תביא לירידה של 23 אחוזים בהכנסה העולמית הממוצעת ב 2100. https://t.co/U
@PolitiekeStefan @NLRebellion Hierbij wat bronnen voor je: 1. https://t.co/WLjljRqLrC 2. https://t.co/WMezxKQmiX 3. https://t.co/laM7Qs7D0C 4. https://t.co/pBNgDMNupm 5. https://t.co/iCZwuDtEAw 6. https://t.co/CmDAEcauYv
@GhostRaccoon6 De gasit nu e greu, e published in Nature. Problema e ca e paywall. O sa vad daca pot sa-l obtin de la facultate cumva fara plata. https://t.co/ibNDF3GPJH
Kowix selalu juara bangkrut.
Yeah itulah bonus ngareng bareng Kowix, hey @ASEAN klipux. https://t.co/GddXHy2xN8
@rustneversleepz @HyperHydr0 @theresphysics Speaking of… uhm. Is the Burke et al damage function really that “out there”? I may find philosophical objections to it, but it seems reasonable that temperature can be a sort of “endowment”, albeit, maybe, a min
Esse é o artigo que o @hoc111 citou. Obviamente esse vagabundo não vai ler, vive de retórica e é aplaudido por um bando de adolescente que esqueceu de crescer... https://t.co/gZuboWeUGy
@eliasjabbour O @hoc111 cita esse estudo de um professor de Stanford, publicado na revista Nature. Obviamente um vagabundo como vc não vai ler. https://t.co/gZuboWfsw6
@dolardemar Muy interesante sobretodo por el desarrollo de la línea dé tiempo https://t.co/4FtIXvlxU1
@mwassermannl Por acá te hablan "académico inflado" https://t.co/L87lg3ahZE
@erickrolando69 @La_eche @IreneVelezT @petrogustavo Acá el artículo completo y los detalles de los modelos. https://t.co/TusAYbVibz
Rapidly deploying climate tech also represents a historic social justice issue. Financially poor folks living in the tropics did little to cause climate change, yet will bear the steepest costs. (See Fig 4). climate justice ⊆ social justice. https://t
@DoctorVive @MarshallBBurke @tedmiguel Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production | Nature — https://t.co/wri5lfY9fs
RT @AndyFrewX: New economic prediction, but based on previous effects of excessive heat ".. unmitigated warming is expected to reshape the…
New economic prediction, but based on previous effects of excessive heat ".. unmitigated warming is expected to reshape the global economy by reducing average global incomes roughly 23% by 2100 and widening global income inequality, relative to scenarios w
RT @RogerBohn: @DoctorVive @MarshallBBurke @tedmiguel Here is a link to the article. https://t.co/Jivz3a4lNp. But it’s from 2015. Updated c…
RT @RogerBohn: @DoctorVive @MarshallBBurke @tedmiguel Here is a link to the article. https://t.co/Jivz3a4lNp. But it’s from 2015. Updated c…
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production | Nature fyi,@AECBnet https://t.co/xFvrSm967r
@RogerBohn @DoctorVive @MarshallBBurke @tedmiguel thank you for the link. the full text is here https://t.co/zaxXXmz9lc (not open access) an update would be interesting.
@DoctorVive @MarshallBBurke @tedmiguel Here is a link to the article. https://t.co/Jivz3a4lNp. But it’s from 2015. Updated counterpart?
Ook interessant. De optimale jaarlijkse temperatuur voor economische activiteit zou liggen rond 13 graden celsius. https://t.co/k2Ht6kWdbZ
@gordonschuecker @theresphysics @MadisonECondon I don't know their population estimates for 2100 without looking, and they "only" run it out to 5.0°C, not 6.0° C, but per Figure 4d👇, quite a lot - as expressed as % of 2100 GDP. Possibly >$100 trillion/
@QiaochuYuan This was studied! Apparently peak productivity happens where the average annual temperature is 55F, which suggests why Silicon Valley was built in Silicon Valley, and not Austin/Miami/San Diego https://t.co/IzQm6WEHzO
@psmaldino @krisgulati @LTF_01 An interesting way to flip this around is to look at economists who are actually trying to communicate to broader scientific audiences. This paper by my colleague @MarshallBBurke and collabs is a master class on clear scienti
@Nikol_ovich https://t.co/vl2COnEUj5 You will love it even more
@SebRoss4 https://t.co/v0zXAD7FQS jeżeli autentycznie byś był zainteresowany to zacząłbym od tego tylko to może być naprawdę skomplikowane
@tomaszwyluda Na ten konkretnie: https://t.co/2RocpkatiD https://t.co/8cifTvCRjS
@FionaLichtblau Ökonomische Modelle sind ähnlich komplex und inkonsistent wie Klimamodelle. Aber die ganz hohe Kunst sind ökonomische Klimamodelle. Hier zB im peer review in der hochangesehenen nature: https://t.co/iAcXH9Lc0d
🚨El efecto global de las elevadas emisiones continuadas y los cambio climáticos resultantes podrían llevar a que, en 2100, la renta media de Argentina sea un 53% inferior a la que habría tenido sin el #CambioClimático. #IPCCReport https://t.co/8B6s9gmMyq
@MhehedZherting @James_BG @NationalGridESO Costs of “do nothing” as advocated by climate change deniers are far more. https://t.co/JoEHQbxdF8 https://t.co/G22MfTHopr https://t.co/EsFWlaCykB
@H_Sjastad Agree, and fascinating how closely connected the two challenges are. Map illustrates damages of the worst-case climate change (RCP 8.5, SSP5), from https://t.co/JuY1Hb7PT4 https://t.co/lauAWKZeJl
I'd love to know what #development economists make of this widely cited 2015 paper by Burke et al. on the macroeconomic impact of climate and climate change. @DinaPomeranz, @BrankoMilan, can you help me get some responses, please? 1/3 https://t.co/8a
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production 😱 https://t.co/3rOyXK8fjH. https://t.co/yVnORfBdqL
... ce qui n'est pas forcément facile à déterminer. On va donc utiliser une fonction de dommage BHM (qui donne le coût supplémentaire de chaque "unité" de réchauffement) développée par @MarshallBBurke et ses collègues ici: https://t.co/ivSUjypHhB.
RT @JoeriRogelj: @kwdewinter @rahmstorf Wait no more. It has been done. For example, https://t.co/uiGpeK5lhI
@kwdewinter @rahmstorf Wait no more. It has been done. For example, https://t.co/uiGpeK5lhI
@EKGreen42 I love teaching the Burke, Hsiang, Miguel 2015 paper in Nature. It’s accessible, the econometrics are pretty straightforward for undergrads, and there’s a ton to unpack about whether you think it’s a meaningful measure of climate change impacts.
I) Climate-change costs are nonlinear. (In reality, it is NOT fine that agric disappears just because we have 99% of GDP left) See @MarshallBBurke , Hsiang and @tedmiguel https://t.co/hBqb8xZFuX
RT @MartinhoSilves: Das weltweite Pro-Kopf-Einkommen könnte bis 2100 im Vergleich zu einer Entwicklung ohne #Klimakrise um dauerhaft 23% ei…
RT @MartinhoSilves: Das weltweite Pro-Kopf-Einkommen könnte bis 2100 im Vergleich zu einer Entwicklung ohne #Klimakrise um dauerhaft 23% ei…
Das weltweite Pro-Kopf-Einkommen könnte bis 2100 im Vergleich zu einer Entwicklung ohne #Klimakrise um dauerhaft 23% einbrechen. Vergleich: Während der Weltwirtschaftskrise in den 1930 an deren Ende der 2. Weltkrieg stand, brach das weltweite BIP 15% ein.
@MathisWilliam This 2015 @nature study Seems wild to me too I think idea might be that Sweden n similar countries would get some benefits w 1 degree warming (which seems reasonable) but still be screwed by more extreme warning https://t.co/xIkQRyqVHf
@JesseJenkins @RichardTol I think that comes from this study, and associated treatments of uncertainty. They link GDP growth to weather shocks. If a weather shock persists, as this model structure allows, you can get huge impacts. You can't reject positive
@GernotWagner @ProfSteveKeen @ben_d_groom @nephologue @ExtinctionR @Greenpeace @GeorgeMonbiot @Limits2Growth @Patreon As they say, garbage in, garbage out. What is there to audit? I'm sure the code is fine, but the method is not. (Last screenshot is from
@henrifdrake @ngbrizuela @davidanthoff @GernotWagner @baylorfk @JaimePalter Rain tends to drop out of regressions: https://t.co/eyku11bnnQ https://t.co/c0eo4FlUiB
@rustneversleepz So just going through the model. Why do they all use average temperature vs GDP correlations?!! Like seriously, this is nuts! https://t.co/SeSCiHS1t7 https://t.co/1jJ4kBQWCq https://t.co/jPzoYzpgZM
@NNnadramija “Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production”. https://t.co/3Q8MLw7vBm
Climate change is on track to reduce incomes 23% from extra heat alone - that's not counting the damage from floods, droughts, sea-level rise, and fires. The #IPCCreport is clear: if we don’t stop emissions, we will be much, much poorer. #costofwarming h
Building new infrastructure etc. will take lots of money. But doing nothing will likely incur higher costs, esp. in poorer countries (see below). Thus, we should be deploying more climate tech faster, to which I'm guessing Fred would agree. https://t.c
@Peters_Glen @openclimatedata @rustneversleepz @oneill_bc Ours was a meta analysis, but the high end of the range was from Burke 2015, who did a top down empirical probabilistic macroeconomic constraint of the damage function from historical economic and t
@gordonschuecker @nephologue @coxypm @JKSteinberger ... upon Burke, et al., 2015 - which, tellingly, seems to catch him completely by surprise - he quickly deems: "the authors delighting in the ecstasy of econometrics, while failing to appreciate the irre
@Gregdt1 Tu peux jeter un œil (critique, je compte sur toi 😉) à l'étude macro-éco/prod ici : https://t.co/DMFcxzpQNq https://t.co/ThBhpvHkGN
@CarterPaddy @JustinSandefur This paper caused a splash a few years ago https://t.co/9PzNZAV9B4
Climate change will probably increase inter-country inequality, as it impacts poorer countries stronger, which were the least benefited by emissions. Panel c of Burke, Hsiang and Miguel, 2015 https://t.co/DLYn1hyh9O https://t.co/0pnsjz06G2
@RobTPublic @S_HastingsSimon @EdWhittingham There are lot's of good reasons to oppose climate change, but *data* used to show how bad climate change is does also slow benefits for cold countries of moderate warming. https://t.co/GU3ziS6WR1
Unfortunately, the SSP/RCP Pathways do not account for GDP impacts of climate change. Lot's of new empirical research on GDP impacts by now (https://t.co/paNaBSh4PK, https://t.co/7pY4FIfT4u), which, however, had not been available at the time the SSP quant
Marshall Burke says average temps in the 50s F are optimal for human productivity. And that any countries south of Canada or Russia stand to lose by rising temps. https://t.co/pHRDcVaYcF
@pedrohcgs Thanks for this. I saw your JAERE article and was thinking about the many many enviro papers that face this issue, such as this linked one and big related literature. Would be really helpful to have more direction on this. https://t.co/YAamL14PJ
Burke’s research suggests climate change will, by 2100, make Canadians two and a half times richer in terms of per capita G.D.P. than they would be if the planet were not warming https://t.co/szZIPIoNg8
2015'de Nature'da çıkan bu yazı (Burke, M., Hsiang, S. & Miguel, E. Global, Non-linear effect of temperature on economic production) da iklim krizi ve etkileri üzerine yapılmış en kapsamlı araştırmalardan sanırım: https://t.co/o0VJD2dNeJ #iklimkrizi #g
RT @Patricia_Energy: There is a lag between #CO2 emissions and the warming that will come. It’s like sticking an extra duvet on, the temper…
@alex_bernhardt and we know that it's portions of the world that have adverse socioeconomic outcomes that will be most heavily impacted. https://t.co/mV4WZ3QBXP #MMCChat
There is a lag between #CO2 emissions and the warming that will come. It’s like sticking an extra duvet on, the temperature will slowly rise to a new equilibrium. So we’re locked in for change for a long time to come and we will see those harmful effects #
RT @Alex_Bernhardt: A3b: Temp also effects economic productivity. Warming could have particularly negative impacts in already hot, typicall…
A3b: Temp also effects economic productivity. Warming could have particularly negative impacts in already hot, typically low-income countries leading to 23% GDP loss by 2100 and heightened inequality. https://t.co/dIPFHFySE7 #MMCChat
RT @MarshallBBurke: Understanding aggregate economic impacts of future warming is key for figuring out how much to invest in mitigation tod…
Understanding aggregate economic impacts of future warming is key for figuring out how much to invest in mitigation today. Our 2015 paper suggested that temperature has nonlinear effects on GDP growth globally, implying large neg impacts of future warming
@daniel_huppmann @james_glynn @Peters_Glen @IMFNews @MichaelEMann @GernotWagner Might not want to use DICE damage function, but others have used the Burke damage function (https://t.co/kvGFpAPyvW) in REMIND https://t.co/0l0c3I1GnO.
RT @GeoCapScience: Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production https://t.co/E0SHxaAVg4
Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production https://t.co/E0SHxaAVg4