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@hausfath @cristiproist @henrifdrake @karmour_uw @DrKateMarvel @CarbonBrief @nytclimate @business @GernotWagner @DetlefvanVuuren IAMs producing energy system transformation pathways assessed by IPCC typically apply a cumulative CO2/GHG budget & then an
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@climate I think it's not correct to say that a climate sensitivity (ECS) of 3°C "was as close as anything gets to certainty." See e.g. table 1 of https://t.co/HdgTs0njLy which has 14% prob. of ECS over 4.5°C. 3°C was just the central estimate.
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@AlexSteffen That's an adaption the Aus govt made from the original here: https://t.co/3ZATzSLxg9