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Projecting Confidence: How the Probabilistic Horse Race Confuses and Demobilizes the Public

Overview of attention for article published in The Journal of Politics, October 2020
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • One of the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#6 of 1,934)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (96th percentile)

Mentioned by

news
18 news outlets
blogs
7 blogs
twitter
295 tweeters
wikipedia
2 Wikipedia pages

Citations

dimensions_citation
10 Dimensions

Readers on

mendeley
35 Mendeley
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Title
Projecting Confidence: How the Probabilistic Horse Race Confuses and Demobilizes the Public
Published in
The Journal of Politics, October 2020
DOI 10.1086/708682
Authors

Sean Jeremy Westwood, Solomon Messing, Yphtach Lelkes

Twitter Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 295 tweeters who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 35 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Unknown 35 100%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 14 40%
Student > Master 7 20%
Researcher 4 11%
Student > Doctoral Student 2 6%
Professor 2 6%
Other 4 11%
Unknown 2 6%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Social Sciences 18 51%
Psychology 4 11%
Computer Science 3 9%
Arts and Humanities 2 6%
Economics, Econometrics and Finance 2 6%
Other 2 6%
Unknown 4 11%

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 432. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 11 August 2021.
All research outputs
#39,984
of 19,149,909 outputs
Outputs from The Journal of Politics
#6
of 1,934 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#1,335
of 274,628 outputs
Outputs of similar age from The Journal of Politics
#2
of 29 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 19,149,909 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 1,934 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 19.9. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 274,628 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 29 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 96% of its contemporaries.