Professor Nicolai J. Foss,
Prediction failure.
Prediction failure.
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration https://www.pnas.org/content/117/15/8398.short…
A new paper in PNAS analyzes the Fragile Families Challenge, a scientific mass collaboration between 160 teams of social…
A large-scale longitudinal study finds that even the best models for predicting life trajectories are inaccurate, suggesting…