@OwenJones84 @JSkeaping Owen, do you understand how forecasts work? It is not zero-sum. Even in final days Trump had 1 in 8 or 1 in 10 chance of winning. Top forecasters were split. Media wants categorical call but in EV vote system like US is hard to do h
RT @NeverlandWang0: 美国政治学界的大选预测,总体而言非常准确! 每届大选都是由学术期刊Political Science and Politics在大选前发表。 多个预测取平均数:选举人票137,普选票47.8%,与实际结果非常接近。 https://t…
美国政治学界的大选预测,总体而言非常准确! 每届大选都是由学术期刊Political Science and Politics在大选前发表。 多个预测取平均数:选举人票137,普选票47.8%,与实际结果非常接近。 https://t.co/oVgxQa6P4c
The average of the @ps_polisci #ElectoralCollege forecasts this year (https://t.co/iNjc853sck) was Biden 301-Trump 237. We're on track for a final EC vote of Biden 306-Trump 232. Again, bravo. /2
RT @julian_kanarek: Hoy, hay dos modelos de predicción que dan a Trump como ganador de las elecciones. A tenerlo en cuenta y no subestimar…
RT @rasmus_kleis: Prediction time! In 2016 6 of 11 political science pre-election forecasts predicted Clinton victory (won popular vote, l…
Hoy, hay dos modelos de predicción que dan a Trump como ganador de las elecciones. A tenerlo en cuenta y no subestimar sus formas por más groseras que parezcan. Pierda o no, su campaña 2020 es digna de estudio y profunda autocrítica del sistema político y
Prediction time! In 2016 6 of 11 political science pre-election forecasts predicted Clinton victory (won popular vote, lost election), 2 predicted Trump (lost vote, but won election). 2020? 5 of 7 models predict Biden wins electoral college, 2 of 7 Trump
RT @pol4casting: To read!
RT @pol4casting: To read!
RT @CUP_PoliSci: The 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting symposium from @ps_polisci is now live - https://t.co/yok8bVwKHu Read the Intr…
RT @CUP_PoliSci: The 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting symposium from @ps_polisci is now live - https://t.co/yok8bVwKHu Read the Intr…
RT @pol4casting: To read! https://t.co/vYKk5dlYHt
To read!
The 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting symposium from @ps_polisci is now live - https://t.co/yok8bVwKHu Read the Introduction by @r_dassonneville & @CharlesPTien here: https://t.co/BZ8fzhZzqd #FirstView https://t.co/n7u9jC9ARE