RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci: Keith Dowding (@politicsANU) explains the important differences between forecasting and scientific pred…
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@RochelleTerman Saw this today in @ps_polisci & thought back to this thread. My tldr: it's not that political scientists (such as comp. Data experts like you) misunderstand polls/forecasts, it's that soundbiting them can mislead the public re: a fair s
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"So the problem for political science is that the public might judge its scientific merits by the accuracy of forecasts of a single token event while misunderstanding what those forecasts actually claim". https://t.co/kTdih2YPVz
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MT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci: Keith Dowding (@politicsANU) explains the important differences between forecasting and scientific prediction. https://t.co/zlMKMOlSeo https://t.co/Vl0ABBDCd7