Publication proportions for registered breast cancer trials: before and following the introduction of the ClinicalTrials.gov results database

Innocent Gerald Asiimwe, Dickson Rumona

To limit selective and incomplete publication of the results of clinical trials, registries including ClinicalTrials.gov were introduced. The ClinicalTrials.gov registry added a results database in 2008 to enable researchers to post the results of their trials as stipulated by the Food and Drug Administration Amendment Act of 2007. This study aimed to determine the direction and magnitude of any change in publication proportions of registered breast cancer trials that occurred since the inception of the ClinicalTrials.gov results database. A cross-sectional study design was employed using ClinicalTrials.gov, a publicly available registry/results database as the primary data source. Registry contents under the subcategories 'Breast Neoplasms' and 'Breast Neoplasms, Male' were downloaded on 1 August 2015. A literature search for included trials was afterwards conducted using MEDLINE and DISCOVER databases to determine publication status of the registered breast cancer trials. Nearly half (168/340) of the listed trials had been published, with a median time to publication of 24 months (Q1 = 14 months, Q3 = 42 months). Only 86 trials were published within 24 months of completion. There was no significant increase in publication proportions of trials that were completed before the introduction of the results database compared to those completed after (OR = 1.00, 95 % CI = .61 to 1.63; adjusted OR = 0.84, 95 % CI = .51 to 1.39). Characteristics associated with publication included trial type (observational versus interventional adjusted OR = .28, 95 % CI = .10 to .74) and completion/termination status (terminated versus completed adjusted OR = .22, 95 % CI = .09 to .51). Less than a half of breast cancer trials registered in ClinicalTrials.gov are published in peer-reviewed journals.