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Predictive Physiological Anticipation Preceding Seemingly Unpredictable Stimuli: A Meta-Analysis

Overview of attention for article published in Frontiers in Psychology, January 2012
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  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (98th percentile)

Citations

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97 Dimensions

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143 Mendeley
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3 CiteULike
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Title
Predictive Physiological Anticipation Preceding Seemingly Unpredictable Stimuli: A Meta-Analysis
Published in
Frontiers in Psychology, January 2012
DOI 10.3389/fpsyg.2012.00390
Pubmed ID
Authors

Julia Mossbridge, Patrizio Tressoldi, Jessica Utts

Abstract

This meta-analysis of 26 reports published between 1978 and 2010 tests an unusual hypothesis: for stimuli of two or more types that are presented in an order designed to be unpredictable and that produce different post-stimulus physiological activity, the direction of pre-stimulus physiological activity reflects the direction of post-stimulus physiological activity, resulting in an unexplained anticipatory effect. The reports we examined used one of two paradigms: (1) randomly ordered presentations of arousing vs. neutral stimuli, or (2) guessing tasks with feedback (correct vs. incorrect). Dependent variables included: electrodermal activity, heart rate, blood volume, pupil dilation, electroencephalographic activity, and blood oxygenation level dependent (BOLD) activity. To avoid including data hand-picked from multiple different analyses, no post hoc experiments were considered. The results reveal a significant overall effect with a small effect size [fixed effect: overall ES = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.15-0.27, z = 6.9, p < 2.7 × 10(-12); random effects: overall (weighted) ES = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.13-0.29, z = 5.3, p < 5.7 × 10(-8)]. Higher quality experiments produced a quantitatively larger effect size and a greater level of significance than lower quality studies. The number of contrary unpublished reports that would be necessary to reduce the level of significance to chance (p > 0.05) was conservatively calculated to be 87 reports. We explore alternative explanations and examine the potential linkage between this unexplained anticipatory activity and other results demonstrating meaningful pre-stimulus activity preceding behaviorally relevant events. We conclude that to further examine this currently unexplained anticipatory activity, multiple replications arising from different laboratories using the same methods are necessary. The cause of this anticipatory activity, which undoubtedly lies within the realm of natural physical processes (as opposed to supernatural or paranormal ones), remains to be determined.

X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 91 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley readers

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 143 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
United States 4 3%
Germany 3 2%
United Kingdom 3 2%
Italy 2 1%
France 1 <1%
Australia 1 <1%
Israel 1 <1%
Portugal 1 <1%
Denmark 1 <1%
Other 1 <1%
Unknown 125 87%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Researcher 37 26%
Student > Ph. D. Student 25 17%
Student > Bachelor 20 14%
Student > Master 14 10%
Other 9 6%
Other 23 16%
Unknown 15 10%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Psychology 55 38%
Neuroscience 13 9%
Agricultural and Biological Sciences 11 8%
Computer Science 10 7%
Engineering 5 3%
Other 29 20%
Unknown 20 14%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 258. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 11 August 2023.
All research outputs
#142,143
of 25,373,627 outputs
Outputs from Frontiers in Psychology
#295
of 34,411 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#590
of 250,087 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Frontiers in Psychology
#8
of 481 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,373,627 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 34,411 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 13.2. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 250,087 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 481 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 98% of its contemporaries.