In 2014, I worked w/ @climate_guy to project likelihood of very large fires (>50k acres) out to the future https://t.co/qjKSrvgLdw; recent studies show we are already seeing the 2x-3x increase and its only 10 years later...
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1,166 followers
Here is a paper where I explain this more: https://t.co/qjKSruZ9OW
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In 2014, @climate_guy & predicted that 2031-2060 would see a 300-400% increase across the west for very large fires, over what was observed in 1950-2005. Its only 2021 and we have surpassed that estimate. Predicting extremes is hard #math #climatecrisi
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For those that want the research, you can find it here: https://t.co/qjKSruZ9OW