Quantitative analysis has not found any conclusive link between climate change and conflict (at least not in that direction). Conflict being historical, it is incomplete either way; so far, n o conflict has warranted the "climate" label qualitatively. h
A whole bunch of proper conflict scholars invited me as a co-author on this paper, which argues that the link between climate and conflict is tenuous at best https://t.co/aMB7lq6XvW
(If you’re interested you can read the “One Effect” debate from a few years back in which scholars created, critiqued and re-did each others climate / conflict meta-studies and reached very different conclusions) https://t.co/snaRBmv3ky
Another study said the opposite. Seeing climate as the "one effect" that governed conflict was wrong. They even titled their paper using a Lord of the Rings reference. "One effect to rule them all" One ring... never mind. Their joke not mine. https://t.co/