@BMcNoldy Can you elaborate on the fitting you're using? From my brief and un-expert review of epi lit there are a few sigmoidal forecasts that will fit the entire data set and better reflect the underlying mechanics, ie the logistic, gompertz, and richard
RT @DaihaiHe: Simple framework for real-time forecast in a data-limited situation: the Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreaks in Brazil from 2015 to 2…
RT @DaihaiHe: Simple framework for real-time forecast in a data-limited situation: the Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreaks in Brazil from 2015 to 2…
RT @bloodSparasites: Simple framework for real-time forecast in a data-limited situation: the Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreaks in Brazil from 20…