State-Level Forecasts for the 2020 US Presidential Election: Tough Victory Ahead for Biden

RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Econo…

Our forecast for Florida was 49.5% of the two-party vote for Trump and 50.5% for Biden. Trump won 51.7% and Biden 48.3%. Overall, the model correctly predicted the winner in 47 of the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. You can find the model here:

RT @CUP_PoliSci: MT @veroniquejerome: Tough victory ahead for Biden: the model we built during the summer and published in @ps_polisci ht…

MT @veroniquejerome: Tough victory ahead for Biden: the model we built during the summer and published in @ps_polisci https://t.co/M8mP6jLEze

RT @VeroniqueJEROME: Tough victory ahead for Biden: the model we built during the summer and published in @ps_polisci

Tough victory ahead for Biden: the model we built during the summer and published in @ps_polisci

You can find our model (@BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3) here: https://t.co/ETJ0jw2Sg9

RT @p_mongrain: These are out-of-sample forecasts from the model we published here: https://t.co/ETJ0jvLhoB For 2020, our forecast is 308…

RT @p_mongrain: These are out-of-sample forecasts from the model we published here: https://t.co/ETJ0jvLhoB For 2020, our forecast is 308…

These are out-of-sample forecasts from the model we published here: https://t.co/ETJ0jvLhoB For 2020, our forecast is 308 electoral votes for Biden and 230 electoral votes for Trump.

Note that this does not impact our analyses in any way. Our forecast for 2020 remains unchanged: 308 electoral votes for Biden and 230 electoral votes for Trump. You can find the article here: https://t.co/j9FDqExMit

RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Econo…

RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Econo…

RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Econo…

I would say « me too »! what a great team with you Philippe @p_mongrain Richard @NadeauRichard3 and Bruno @BrunoJerome_Z ! Thank you !

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Econo…

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

RT @ps_polisci: New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Econo…

New in @ps_polisci from @BrunoJerome_Z @VeroniqueJEROME @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3: The State-by-State Political Economy Model forecasts that Biden will win 308 electoral votes and 51.69 percent of the national two-party vote. @pol4casting https://t

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

RT @r_dassonneville: Also a focus on state-level predictions in the work of @BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichar…

RT @r_dassonneville: Also a focus on state-level predictions in the work of @BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichar…

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

RT @p_mongrain: I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @V…

I am *very* happy to be part of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting Symposium in @ps_polisci with @BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, and @NadeauRichard3. You can find our 2020 forecast here: https://t.co/ETJ0jvLhoB @pol4casting @SciencePo_UdeM #pol4c

Also a focus on state-level predictions in the work of @BrunoJerome_Z, @VeroniqueJEROME, @p_mongrain and @NadeauRichard3, who forecast a ‘Tough Victory’ for Biden 11/n https://t.co/jEMJj6SPvh