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How predictable is technological progress?

Overview of attention for article published in Research Policy, April 2016
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • One of the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#3 of 3,106)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (99th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (97th percentile)

Readers on

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575 Mendeley
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Article details
Title
How predictable is technological progress?
Published in
Research Policy, April 2016
DOI 10.1016/j.respol.2015.11.001
Authors

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Timeline Attention over time Attention Score history
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Activity
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X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 462 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley demographics

Mendeley demographics

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 575 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
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Geographical breakdown

Geographical breakdown
Country Count As %
United Kingdom 2 <1%
United States 1 <1%
Netherlands 1 <1%
Luxembourg 1 <1%
Korea, Republic of 1 <1%
Japan 1 <1%
Switzerland 1 <1%
Belgium 1 <1%
Argentina 1 <1%
Other 0 0%
Unknown 565 98%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status
Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 94 16%
Student > Master 81 14%
Researcher 63 11%
Student > Bachelor 50 9%
Student > Doctoral Student 33 6%
Other 88 15%
Unknown 166 29%
Readers by discipline
Readers by discipline Count As %
Engineering 78 14%
Business, Management and Accounting 52 9%
Economics, Econometrics and Finance 41 7%
Energy 40 7%
Social Sciences 31 5%
Other 139 24%
Unknown 194 34%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 662. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 20 June 2026.
All research outputs
#41,179
of 34,620,809 outputs
Outputs from Research Policy
#3
of 3,106 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#583
of 339,166 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Research Policy
#1
of 37 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 34,620,809 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 3,106 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 16.1. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 339,166 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 37 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 97% of its contemporaries.