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X Demographics
Mendeley readers
Attention Score in Context
| Title |
Early Prediction of Movie Box Office Success Based on Wikipedia Activity Big Data
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
PLOS ONE, August 2013
|
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0071226 |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
Márton Mestyán, Taha Yasseri, János Kertész |
| Abstract |
Use of socially generated "big data" to access information about collective states of the minds in human societies has become a new paradigm in the emerging field of computational social science. A natural application of this would be the prediction of the society's reaction to a new product in the sense of popularity and adoption rate. However, bridging the gap between "real time monitoring" and "early predicting" remains a big challenge. Here we report on an endeavor to build a minimalistic predictive model for the financial success of movies based on collective activity data of online users. We show that the popularity of a movie can be predicted much before its release by measuring and analyzing the activity level of editors and viewers of the corresponding entry to the movie in Wikipedia, the well-known online encyclopedia. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 116 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 19 | 16% |
| United Kingdom | 18 | 16% |
| Italy | 5 | 4% |
| Netherlands | 4 | 3% |
| France | 4 | 3% |
| India | 3 | 3% |
| Spain | 3 | 3% |
| Canada | 2 | 2% |
| Australia | 2 | 2% |
| Other | 19 | 16% |
| Unknown | 37 | 32% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Members of the public | 88 | 76% |
| Scientists | 25 | 22% |
| Science communicators (journalists, bloggers, editors) | 3 | 3% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 328 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 4 | 1% |
| Germany | 3 | <1% |
| United Kingdom | 2 | <1% |
| Netherlands | 1 | <1% |
| France | 1 | <1% |
| Italy | 1 | <1% |
| Australia | 1 | <1% |
| Brazil | 1 | <1% |
| Switzerland | 1 | <1% |
| Other | 4 | 1% |
| Unknown | 309 | 94% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 74 | 23% |
| Student > Master | 73 | 22% |
| Researcher | 43 | 13% |
| Student > Bachelor | 33 | 10% |
| Professor | 13 | 4% |
| Other | 46 | 14% |
| Unknown | 46 | 14% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Computer Science | 92 | 28% |
| Social Sciences | 46 | 14% |
| Business, Management and Accounting | 38 | 12% |
| Engineering | 22 | 7% |
| Economics, Econometrics and Finance | 14 | 4% |
| Other | 57 | 17% |
| Unknown | 59 | 18% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 309. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 16 January 2023.
All research outputs
#113,883
of 25,872,466 outputs
Outputs from PLOS ONE
#1,787
of 225,654 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#680
of 211,471 outputs
Outputs of similar age from PLOS ONE
#38
of 4,749 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,872,466 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 99th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 225,654 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 15.9. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 211,471 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 4,749 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.