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Applying Farr’s Law to project the drug overdose mortality epidemic in the United States

Overview of attention for article published in Injury Epidemiology, December 2014
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • Among the highest-scoring outputs from this source (#32 of 194)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (95th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (87th percentile)

Mentioned by

news
3 news outlets
twitter
11 tweeters

Citations

dimensions_citation
7 Dimensions

Readers on

mendeley
9 Mendeley
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Title
Applying Farr’s Law to project the drug overdose mortality epidemic in the United States
Published in
Injury Epidemiology, December 2014
DOI 10.1186/s40621-014-0031-2
Pubmed ID
Authors

Salima Darakjy, Joanne E Brady, Charles J DiMaggio, Guohua Li

Abstract

Unintentional drug overdose has increased markedly in the past two decades and surpassed motor vehicle crashes as the leading cause of injury mortality in many states. The purpose of this study was to understand the trajectory of the drug overdose epidemic in the United States by applying Farr's Law. Farr's "law of epidemics" and the Bregman-Langmuir back calculation method were applied to United States drug overdose mortality data for the years 1980 through 2011 to project the annual death rates from drug overdose from 2012 through 2035. From 1980-2011, annual drug overdose mortality increased from 2.7 to 13.2 deaths per 100,000 population. The projected drug overdose mortality would peak in 2016-2017 at 16.1 deaths per 100,000 population and then decline progressively until reaching 1.9 deaths per 100,000 population in 2035. The projected data based on Farr's Law suggests that drug overdose mortality in the United States will decline in the coming years and return to the 1980 baseline level approximately by the year 2034.

Twitter Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 11 tweeters who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 9 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Unknown 9 100%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Researcher 2 22%
Student > Ph. D. Student 2 22%
Professor 1 11%
Student > Doctoral Student 1 11%
Other 1 11%
Other 1 11%
Unknown 1 11%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Social Sciences 3 33%
Medicine and Dentistry 2 22%
Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutical Science 1 11%
Business, Management and Accounting 1 11%
Engineering 1 11%
Other 0 0%
Unknown 1 11%

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 32. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 11 March 2020.
All research outputs
#672,334
of 15,799,061 outputs
Outputs from Injury Epidemiology
#32
of 194 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#13,810
of 305,381 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Injury Epidemiology
#2
of 16 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 15,799,061 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 95th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 194 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 38.0. This one has done well, scoring higher than 83% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 305,381 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 95% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 16 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done well, scoring higher than 87% of its contemporaries.