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The Hot (Invisible?) Hand: Can Time Sequence Patterns of Success/Failure in Sports Be Modeled as Repeated Random Independent Trials?

Overview of attention for article published in PLOS ONE, October 2011
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About this Attention Score

  • In the top 5% of all research outputs scored by Altmetric
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age (98th percentile)
  • High Attention Score compared to outputs of the same age and source (96th percentile)

Mentioned by

news
1 news outlet
blogs
3 blogs
policy
2 policy sources
twitter
30 X users
wikipedia
4 Wikipedia pages
googleplus
1 Google+ user

Citations

dimensions_citation
70 Dimensions

Readers on

mendeley
75 Mendeley
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Title
The Hot (Invisible?) Hand: Can Time Sequence Patterns of Success/Failure in Sports Be Modeled as Repeated Random Independent Trials?
Published in
PLOS ONE, October 2011
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0024532
Pubmed ID
Authors

Gur Yaari, Shmuel Eisenmann

Abstract

The long lasting debate initiated by Gilovich, Vallone and Tversky in [Formula: see text] is revisited: does a "hot hand" phenomenon exist in sports? Hereby we come back to one of the cases analyzed by the original study, but with a much larger data set: all free throws taken during five regular seasons ([Formula: see text]) of the National Basketball Association (NBA). Evidence supporting the existence of the "hot hand" phenomenon is provided. However, while statistical traces of this phenomenon are observed in the data, an open question still remains: are these non random patterns a result of "success breeds success" and "failure breeds failure" mechanisms or simply "better" and "worse" periods? Although free throws data is not adequate to answer this question in a definite way, we speculate based on it, that the latter is the dominant cause behind the appearance of the "hot hand" phenomenon in the data.

X Demographics

X Demographics

The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 30 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Mendeley readers

Mendeley readers

The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 75 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.

Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Spain 2 3%
United States 1 1%
Portugal 1 1%
Brazil 1 1%
Unknown 70 93%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Ph. D. Student 16 21%
Researcher 12 16%
Student > Master 9 12%
Professor > Associate Professor 7 9%
Student > Bachelor 6 8%
Other 12 16%
Unknown 13 17%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Sports and Recreations 13 17%
Psychology 9 12%
Agricultural and Biological Sciences 5 7%
Computer Science 5 7%
Business, Management and Accounting 5 7%
Other 19 25%
Unknown 19 25%
Attention Score in Context

Attention Score in Context

This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 64. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 30 August 2023.
All research outputs
#687,341
of 25,846,867 outputs
Outputs from PLOS ONE
#9,159
of 225,392 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#2,635
of 145,857 outputs
Outputs of similar age from PLOS ONE
#85
of 2,643 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 25,846,867 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 97th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 225,392 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 15.9. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 95% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 145,857 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 98% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 2,643 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 96% of its contemporaries.