@sneermeneer @LeonSimons8 @_david_ho_ @CopernicusEU @ed_hawkins @hausfath Leon really has no idea what he's talking about. nobody is ignoring "curvilinear effects". We're using physics-based model projections. I've published multiple articles on how to smo
@TodHynes It's about the trend line. And noise dominates over signal on timescales < 20 years. Here are a couple journal articles I've published about how to do this properly: https://t.co/KgyR9hB3aa https://t.co/PsSBczobts
@cristiproist <Sigh.> 🤦♀️ Cristi, sometimes you say provocative things, but you do it with wit. And Mike makes bad jokes too. 🤪 It was a discussion 🧵 about CO2 data and smoothing. Mike mentioned his 2008 paper, which discussed smoothing global tempe
@flowinguphill @Peters_Glen @PFriedling @TimOsbornClim @guardian @richardabetts One can minimize the 0th, 1st, 2nd,...nth derivative at the boundary. I've argued for an approach that adaptively weights the three lowest order options so as to minimize the m