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Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America

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Cover of 'Experts, Social Scientists, and Techniques of Prognosis in Cold War America'

Table of Contents

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    Book Overview
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    Chapter 1 Introduction: A Culture of Insecurity and Its Experts
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    Chapter 2 Experts, Think Tanks, and the Delicate Balance of Public Trust
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    Chapter 3 The Wisdom of the Group: RAND’s First Experiments with Expert Prediction, 1947–1951
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    Chapter 4 Negotiating Rules for the Game: Political Games at RAND, 1954–1956
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    Chapter 5 The Oracle’s Epistemology: Expert Opinions as Scientific Material, 1955–1960
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    Chapter 6 The Boredom of the Crowd: The Long-Range Forecasting Delphi, 1963–1964
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    Chapter 7 Conclusion: The Strength of Epistemic Hopes
Attention for Chapter 3: The Wisdom of the Group: RAND’s First Experiments with Expert Prediction, 1947–1951
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