An analytical framework for postmortems of European foreign policy: should decision-makers have been surprised?

Overview of attention for article published in Intelligence and National Security, January 2020

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So far, Dimensions has found 4 publications that cite this research output.

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The most recent citing publications are shown below. View all 4 publications that cite this research output on Dimensions.

Caught off guard? Evaluating how external experts in Germany warned about Russia’s war on Ukraine

Article in Intelligence & National Security (April 2024)

The underlying causes of strategic surprise in EU foreign policy: a post-mortem investigation of the Arab uprisings and the Ukraine–Russia crisis of 2013/14

Article in European Security (November 2022)

How surprising was ISIS’ rise to power for the German intelligence community? Reconstructing estimates of likelihood prior to the fall of Mosul

Article in Intelligence & National Security (October 2021)

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