@DFisman @BrockUniversity You name is on this science pal. And we are already above your base case. Apologize for being dead wrong about control the spread of something that will be here forever. https://t.co/sQwIWDhFbj
@DFisman @UPEI So, in May 2020 you thought 63+% of people would catch covid-19 (see your study) and now you think masks can stop covid-19. You do realize people are laughing at how ridiculous you are, right? https://t.co/sQwIWDhFbj
@SendDopaminePls @mechanic_plant @TheHotChick304 @TorontoStar That the mathematical model of COVID-19 from May 2020 (used to simulate in this study) is at all relevant at this point. Here is the model that they ran their simulations based on. https://t.c
RT @This__is__Matt: @DonaldWelsh16 They estimated 55500 ICU cases. Tuite, Fisman, Greer. https://t.co/F19xMCxVgR https://t.co/uJTGNrXchm
RT @This__is__Matt: @DonaldWelsh16 They estimated 55500 ICU cases. Tuite, Fisman, Greer. https://t.co/F19xMCxVgR https://t.co/uJTGNrXchm
@DFisman just published a paper on COVID https://t.co/eBTEd9aypz Based on a 'model' he developed in May 2020 (pre-Omicron). https://t.co/tfhfMki51b A failed model that predicted case/hospitalization & ICU #'s that NEVER materialized. This isn't scie
@DonaldWelsh16 They estimated 55500 ICU cases. Tuite, Fisman, Greer. https://t.co/F19xMCxVgR https://t.co/uJTGNrXchm
Physical-distancing interventions are being used in Canada to slow the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome #coronavirus 2...to know more at https://t.co/Ubam9AyTIu
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: "Dynamic interventions were projected to be effective for reducing the proportion of the population infected at the end…
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: "Dynamic interventions were projected to be effective for reducing the proportion of the population infected at the end…
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: "Dynamic interventions were projected to be effective for reducing the proportion of the population infected at the end…
"Dynamic interventions were projected to be effective for reducing the proportion of the population infected at the end of the ***2-year period***, with potentially shorter durations of physical distancing than the fixed-duration approach"(emphasis added)
RT @richardajabu: If only this @BCNDP Gov't would respond quickly and with suitable caution. Gov't doesn't respect this virus; they actuall…
If only this @BCNDP Gov't would respond quickly and with suitable caution. Gov't doesn't respect this virus; they actually think they can finesse control of it. Pure hubris. So they "wait & see" & more people die due to COVID. Slow to learn. Slow t
@Charley2021 @ColinDMello Let’s not forget this gem. https://t.co/ExnCGRzCYd
For reference: https://t.co/F19xMCxVgR
@ExposingLiars00 @meganmesserly This doesn't really answer my question though does it? I found this paper was rather illuminating. Less production value perhaps but a damn good read. https://t.co/WgRK8qqGKg
RT @SinisaCatic: @JeanmarcBenoit He is the brain of the lockdown operation in ON and Canada. In May he predicted 32,700 - 75 200 people in…
@JeanmarcBenoit He is the brain of the lockdown operation in ON and Canada. In May he predicted 32,700 - 75 200 people in ICU https://t.co/lWc0X0ENAn
@brianlilley Here is the model that pushed Canada into lockdowns. The model predicted between 32,700 and 75,200 people in ICU. The model exaggerated ICU occupancy more than 100 times! https://t.co/lWc0X0ENAn
RT @richardajabu: Trying to "balance" this is wrong. Prioritize Lives over $$$$, and Err on the Side of Caution. Intermittent Shutdowns Wor…
RT @WAlfster: Here is the dumpster fire from Fisman and Tutte. @UofT Here is document from these overpaid, biased professors https://t.co/I…
Here is the dumpster fire from Fisman and Tutte. @UofT Here is document from these overpaid, biased professors https://t.co/IANW0GtZoL Want them off science table @fordnation
Trying to "balance" this is wrong. Prioritize Lives over $$$$, and Err on the Side of Caution. Intermittent Shutdowns Work. (That was proven this Spring) Why aren't we doing that? How many died because we didn't? https://t.co/FdgS41zwAP #cdnpoli #yow #bcp
@richardzussman We proved it works this Spring. Why aren't we doing it? Intermittent Shutdowns Work! https://t.co/FdgS41zwAP #cdnpoli #yow @GovCanHealth #bcpoli #vanpoli #yyj @CDCofBC #bchealth #bced #bcleg #sd61
@tracysherlock Why aren't we doing this?👇 We already confirmed It Works. Intermittent Shutdowns, used judiciously, are Effective. And when we ARE open, why aren't we uniformly REQUIRING distancing, ventilation & masks? https://t.co/FdgS41zwAP #bcpoli
@TheELongWave @AntiLockdownONT I believe this is what was used to lockdown in the Spring. They estimated without interventions we would see 55K in the ICU at the height of the pandemic. https://t.co/F19xMCxVgR
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: This is the paper that provided the model https://t.co/5zOMSjUyPH
@bruce_arthur @fisman_n Here's a way it could have been used less effectively: https://t.co/j2xGyXby7W https://t.co/uXAgUkGdL2
@CPHO_Canada What about the false information that is being peddled by your hyperventilating advisors? This fool @DFisman projected 55,000 people in the ICU at the height of the pandemic. We topped out around 250? https://t.co/IuvFi5Y55A
@60CarltonSt @celliottability Actually it looks like he predicted 55,000. An even bigger fool than I originally thought. https://t.co/IuvFi5Y55A
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: This is the paper that provided the model https://t.co/5zOMSjUyPH
This is the paper that provided the model https://t.co/5zOMSjUyPH
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: https://t.co/5zOMSjUyPH Math model for Ontario proposed "dynamic interventions" over up to 2 years: "As such, we used 2…
@AntiLockdownONT @UofT Thread re. Fisman's magnum opus in the CMAJ. https://t.co/hMp93InA81
RT @JeanmarcBenoit: https://t.co/5zOMSjUyPH Math model for Ontario proposed "dynamic interventions" over up to 2 years: "As such, we used 2…
https://t.co/5zOMSjUyPH Math model for Ontario proposed "dynamic interventions" over up to 2 years: "As such, we used 200 COVID-19 cases in the ICU (across all of Ontario [0.014 per 1000]) as a threshold for turning the intervention on."
@chriswilsondc @jeffreykluger ☝️That graph COULD have looked like this 👇 if Trump Republicans had Done their Duty 😞 https://t.co/FdgS41zwAP #uspolitics #cdnpoli #ukpolitics #eu #auspol #nzpol #Election2020 #Trump #GOP #MAGA
@MSCMommyLife @LesaM412 @tdsb But what we've learned this summer is that AGE of cases is critical too. We may just be starting to see an uptick in case age...if that is real, we will see it echo in 2-3 weeks in hospitalization numbers. Our paper: https://
@FlemmingJam @ChitsBank @Rosecomment @Reuters "Physical-distancing interventions are being used in Canada to slow the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, but it is not clear how effective they will be."https://t.co/vk6jf97EUP
@dockaurG Canada models its health policy based off recommendations from the NY TIMES: https://t.co/vk6jf97EUP
@7leninvan I was expecting 2nd & subsequent flare-ups of #COVID19 to be managed such that they were LOWER than initial flare-up. Are we now trying to get closer to saturating our healthcare system before shutting down again? https://t.co/FdgS41zwAP @G
RT @imgrund: @alanahkyleen @TOPublicHealth @epdevilla Here’s a great Canadian paper written by @DFisman, @AmyGreerKalisz and @AshTuite : h…
@alanahkyleen @TOPublicHealth @epdevilla Here’s a great Canadian paper written by @DFisman, @AmyGreerKalisz and @AshTuite : https://t.co/cOI3yKb1h9
@BirdClanMssngr @AuroraB55 @votejessi2020 What are your sources? The Cdn Medical Assoc'n Journal has many articles acknowledging asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission. E.g. "Physical distancing becomes a more important control measure ... owing to
@kakape @DrZoeHyde @AshTuite This is what one would expect for standardized morbidity ratios purely based on contact matrices, assuming that everyone in the population is susceptible at baseline. Constructed using model outputs from https://t.co/AsYZp9MmZ
RT @howsmyflattenON: This analysis adopts the work of leading infectious disease modelers @AshTuite, @DFisman, and @AmyGreerKalisz. Read mo…
RT @howsmyflattenON: This analysis adopts the work of leading infectious disease modelers @AshTuite, @DFisman, and @AmyGreerKalisz. Read mo…
RT @howsmyflattenON: This analysis adopts the work of leading infectious disease modelers @AshTuite, @DFisman, and @AmyGreerKalisz. Read mo…
This analysis adopts the work of leading infectious disease modelers @AshTuite, @DFisman, and @AmyGreerKalisz. Read more here: https://t.co/ltUA1EuoPx [3/4]
Maintenant que vous avez prouvé que le confinement protégera notre système de santé en évitant une surcharge de ses capacités limités, vous pouvez fournir une étude scientifique qui montre un rapport positivement quantifiable au confinement obligatoire ver
De la conclusion même: "We do not offer precise policy prescriptions in terms of how the reductions associated with physical distancing that we model here are to be achieved, and we do not regard this model as a realistic recreation of current events in
@MagChange_73 Si tu es si bon en math tu devrais comprendre, Enjoy! https://t.co/rp1aXYZGmx
💭🤔Mathematical modelling of COVID-19 transmission & mitigation strategies in the population of #Ontario #Canada https://t.co/8oomdGKj8S #COVID19Canada #cdnpoli #canpoli #cmaj
RT @DFisman: @skepticalIDdoc It's almost like there's this dynamic thing going on with the distancing, eh? Someone should write a paper ab…
RT @DFisman: @skepticalIDdoc It's almost like there's this dynamic thing going on with the distancing, eh? Someone should write a paper ab…
@skepticalIDdoc It's almost like there's this dynamic thing going on with the distancing, eh? Someone should write a paper about that. https://t.co/AsYZp9MmZt @CMAJ @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz
Retweeting this because has the plus sides of i) not being as complicated as telling toddlers not to share toys ii) It gives everybody visibility/sanity iii) It's a single plan as opposed to chaos. iv) We're almost 1/8th done anyway.
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/jqnp99xgxD You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/jqnp99xgxD You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/jqnp99xgxD You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/jqnp99xgxD You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different cont…
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/jqnp99xgxD You can experiment with different cont…
This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/jqnp99xgxD You can experiment with different control strategies and durations of intervention, and see how that changes disease cases, ICU admissions and deaths over time.
RT @DFisman: This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different cont…
This is an interactive version of our earlier paper in @CMAJ. https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6 You can experiment with different control strategies and durations of intervention, and see how that changes disease cases, ICU admissions and deaths over time.
RT @DFisman: @enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
Modelado matemático de las estrategias de transmisión y mitigación de COVID-19 en la población de Ontario, Canadá https://t.co/y9aplFTxmr
Sobre deixar os gasto só para esse ano, segue: (+) https://t.co/3OHwIG2fix
RT @DFisman: @enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
Aqui para começar deputado: https://t.co/3OHwIG2fix
RT @DFisman: @enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
RT @DFisman: @enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
RT @DFisman: @enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
RT @DFisman: @enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
@enkimute @AshTuite @AmyGreerKalisz This is incredibly cool. It’s the same model as in @CMAJ https://t.co/VGyyhgvTm6
@akili19Crf @nilmoretto To postando alguns artigos e textos: (+) https://t.co/3OHwIG2fix
A more likely scenario is that these #publichealth interventions will be turned on and off over a prolonged period depending on our healthcare system’s capacity. @DFisman and @AshTuite. https://t.co/wTiABO1OAw
@KateRaworth Hi Professor Raworth. Did you see this study? https://t.co/xE7eNIzZfw
Artigo publicado no @CMAJ : Modelagem matemática das estratégias de transmissão e mitigação de COVID-19 na população de Ontário, Canadá. Link: (+) https://t.co/xE7eNIzZfw
RT @ianjamesyoung70: The models suggest the best way - only way, really - to prevent overwhelming hospitals is to repeatedly switch distanc…
RT @ianjamesyoung70: The models suggest the best way - only way, really - to prevent overwhelming hospitals is to repeatedly switch distanc…
RT @ianjamesyoung70: The models suggest the best way - only way, really - to prevent overwhelming hospitals is to repeatedly switch distanc…
Important paper outlining the dynamic physical distancing + enhanced testing/case finding strategy that we may very likely be living with for the coming 12-24 month period in Ontario/Canada more broadly. #COVID19
@DSniffing @Ayan604 Yes, it is clearly described https://t.co/8LnkFf1os9
@DSniffing @Ayan604 Which study? The Canadian one? It’s all in that study which was peer reviewed by other scientists https://t.co/8LnkFf1os9
RT @ianjamesyoung70: The models suggest the best way - only way, really - to prevent overwhelming hospitals is to repeatedly switch distanc…
RT @Bryson_M: Buckle up