@Br1nk_1991 @Brettheepi Disingenuous? You said influenza was "highly infectious". I gave you information on early estimates demonstrating COVID was twice as infectious, and further research has suggested it was greater than that. How is that "disingenuou
@praeteritia @Derek_a_Franks @CDCgov Each person can infect 5-6 others if still contagious, and only 50% of cases were caught by the 5 day rec as is. https://t.co/zOaTbNeqwC Regardless, from the sounds of it our priorities are in different places. I've pas
@Adede2023 This is in contrast to the natural R0 of SARS2—a pandemic pathogen: https://t.co/Uik9EBA367 https://t.co/asBbErfoYQ
@geoffmboyd @MeetJess First, we gotta stop repeating the falsehood that the original strain had a natural R0 of 3.3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. And that actually makes sense because other viruses with a natural R0 of 3.3 don’t create instant global pan
@AGHuff @R_H_Ebright Unclear, as we don’t know the timeline of successive mutations enhancing the R0. But in exponential growth, every day matters.
@flodebarre @_everythingism And this paper as well. There's also another Chinese pre-print, but that might take more time to find. https://t.co/DyComeZFXQ
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
@fitterhappierAJ R0 was never below 3. Please stop saying that. https://t.co/WUDPu1pRYs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
RT @RadCentrism: @fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
@fitterhappierAJ I’d argue it was never 3 by the way. LANL pegged ancestral strain at R~5.7. https://t.co/9dydgT3RXs
@millnates1 Sure, sure. You know better than LANL. https://t.co/xcuUXPpCaW
@RadCentrism Does anyone have a genuine metric of the R0 at this point??? @MarvinH2_G2 🖐🏻🖐🏻??
@nickel2371234 No. Total idiocy.
Again, irrelevant/false, as it is documented the virus was spreading earlier--globally--than any potential Huanan Market superspreader. The intrinsic/"natural" R0 of ancestral strain was also calculated to be ~5.7 by Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL).
RT @RadCentrism: @peterstaley @sullydish This is what it should be: R0 of ancestral strain was 5.7 https://t.co/Uik9EBhTRZ https://t.co/V…
@cinemashotime Congrats. You're precisely the target of the tweet. https://t.co/U5CNv8gEGc
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
RT @RadCentrism: Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given t…
Not sure why people can't understand this. The math is clear. If you were in public with Covid, you spread SARS2. Given the 'natural R0' [look it up] of ancestral strain, your actions were the sine qua non of a transmission chain that likely led to death.
@RadCentrism This? This proves you are dumb as dog shit! 1st these numbers are shit. 2nd, you can’t count the people you infected who theoretically infected others as your responsibility. By that logic you are part of a prior chain meaning someone else is
@JohannaSilenced Math is math whether in 2020 or 2023 or 3033.
RT @RadCentrism: Btw, this isn't difficult to understand. Even GPT4 can do the math (see below). Go ahead and apply only a 0.4% CFR: your…
@ChimpActual Assumptions in the thread.
@theantiherokate You unblocked me Kate? Awh. Thanks 🫶 Sorry the math is tough for you. Scaling clean indoor air, as I’ve suggested, could’ve saved your sister.
@ApatheticJester Math is not a “mindset.”
@DiamondJimLowe Sorry you are so innumerate. Sad!
@brain_worker_ It’s how math works.
@mindstalk @AffectiveAutism Sorry you are so innumerate.
RT @RadCentrism: Btw, this isn't difficult to understand. Even GPT4 can do the math (see below). Go ahead and apply only a 0.4% CFR: your…
RT @RadCentrism: Btw, this isn't difficult to understand. Even GPT4 can do the math (see below). Go ahead and apply only a 0.4% CFR: your…
@HonestlyAFed 2+2=4
@JDHaltigan Math of death is the math of death. We know you can’t math well.
@mockdisasterttv Exponents are usually taught in 8th grade. Sorry you failed them.
@Fun_Gussie The math proves it. No one here is against improving health and diet. Very bizarre set of sentences you’ve strung together. Sorry science is so hard for you. Sad!
@AndrewGuindon Math books.
@fantoman79 Sorry you are so fragile when it comes to math.
@ringothe5th The math is the math.
@Xixxax2 Yup. And one more iteration may have killed someone.
@spion @PhilMiller2911 @AffectiveAutism Could be 1. Don’t need 5-10.
@HowieFe19769539 Math is math. https://t.co/U5CNv8gEGc
@PhilMiller2911 No, not even close. https://t.co/U5CNv8gEGc
@TotalCytopath It's literally mathematically true, moron. https://t.co/U5CNv8gEGc
RT @RadCentrism: Btw, this isn't difficult to understand. Even GPT4 can do the math (see below). Go ahead and apply only a 0.4% CFR: your…
RT @RadCentrism: Btw, this isn't difficult to understand. Even GPT4 can do the math (see below). Go ahead and apply only a 0.4% CFR: your…
@humftydrumpfty Here dumbass, I did it for you. https://t.co/U5CNv8gEGc
Btw, this isn't difficult to understand. Even GPT4 can do the math (see below). Go ahead and apply only a 0.4% CFR: your spreading SARS2 still killed someone. And that was w/ancestral strain, which was less inherently transmissible than later variants. ht
@gwfcbayern @ParlayKingLG @TheMikeMorton @KanekoaTheGreat i mean r0 clearly bigger - flu is considered 1.3 vs covid calculated at *5.7*. https://t.co/RUVslAKXiD
@massy_4444 @whitepatrick @TinyTon_e @GrumpyCatterman @bennyjohnson You obviously understand exponential growth & math, don’t you? it was 300% higher, btw, Archimedes https://t.co/WtfiCVxSn3
@Dr_JubJub @fucnpr2 @R_H_Ebright Some see it a bit differently: https://t.co/8cHleaxLIj
@polmplm @goddeketal @DrLoupis https://t.co/NUtDMLbo0z ‘Initial estimate’ 🤦♂️🤦♂️🤡
@PiazzapulitaLA7 @alessiolasta 2. poi R0=2 é basso, in letteratura per i coronavirus era stimato (in maniera errata) R0=2,2-2,7 ma già con il preliminare che ho letto ad Apr'20di CDC https://t.co/r06T6zUbUL indica il valore mediano R0 di 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.
@Normie09174384 No, moron. https://t.co/2BSxHcDGcf
@Angsty_Face @Debunk_the_Funk @DrLoupis Covid has a median Ro value of 5.7, with some sub-variants as high as 18.6(comparable to measles). Flu has an Ro value of between 1 & 2. Facts don't care about feelings my guy... https://t.co/2isjEyGe54
RT @RadCentrism: @Marc_Veld @MarvinH2_G2 @microlabdoc LANL calculated: https://t.co/5Jsp96j05Q https://t.co/Uik9EBA367 https://t.co/sYjEm…
@merissahansen17 When I saw a listing of the R(0) for COVID-19 @ median 5.7 .. had > doubled? Not https://t.co/YcGrhO6C4F
RT @Engineer2The: 3/The same patient is also mentioned in the first supplemental of this paper. 48F with Dec 10 onset match the National He…
RT @Engineer2The: 3/The same patient is also mentioned in the first supplemental of this paper. 48F with Dec 10 onset match the National He…
3/The same patient is also mentioned in the first supplemental of this paper. 48F with Dec 10 onset match the National Health Commission report. https://t.co/nGtXeQkWzZ https://t.co/pbmmiXAheU
@MJnanostretch @justano24027371 @stuartjdneil Continuing on path of same thought. The same patient is also mentioned in the supplemental of this paper. I've hidden some rows here to make it readable. https://t.co/nGtXeQBZBZ https://t.co/hVGcFwdFPr
@CaptainPeacock2 @FrankPeeraer Initiële schatting was trouwens te optimistisch. CFR geschat op 10%, meeste ontwikkelde landen zitten rond de 0.3% overlijdens op populatieniveau. https://t.co/iIj4JXKzuH R-waarde oorspronkelijke variant 5.7: https://t.co/
@Dr_D_Man @TWood20229662 #LieBetter The R0 for COVID-19 is a median of 5.7, according to a study published online in Emerging Infectious Diseases. That puts #COVID19 just behind small pox and polio in terms of infectiousness. https://t.co/BsVuIguC9Y
RT @RadCentrism: @KatieKlocksin @erinbiba Original was not 3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. https://t.co/9dydgTkUZs So current variants a…
RT @RadCentrism: @KatieKlocksin @erinbiba Original was not 3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. https://t.co/9dydgTkUZs So current variants a…
RT @RadCentrism: @ahandvanish We gotta stop repeating the falsehood that the original strain was 3.3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. https:…
RT @RadCentrism: @KatieKlocksin @erinbiba Original was not 3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. https://t.co/9dydgTkUZs So current variants a…
@KatieKlocksin @erinbiba Original was not 3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. https://t.co/9dydgTkUZs So current variants are FAR higher than 18.
@DaveKotlyar @ahandvanish Yeah.
@ahandvanish We gotta stop repeating the falsehood that the original strain was 3.3. It was pegged at 5.7 by LANL. https://t.co/9dydgTkUZs So it’s FAR higher than 18.6. https://t.co/aKiED7Q0nq
@TimRealityDE Jedoch musste man schon 2020 SARS-CoV-2 von einer viel schnelleren Ausbreitung ausgehen. https://t.co/Ok8b3UHx9d https://t.co/3fR040CjbZ 2/3 https://t.co/mktx5EIqnC
RT @jmcrookston: 2. Experts have noted this highly dispersed R0 for SARS2, and estimate that true R0/Reff may not 2.5-3.5 but in fact doubl…
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
High Contagiousness &Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/Li3pe7vjC7
@jumpinin1 @jburnmurdoch https://t.co/UBsLTgRpe7 median r0 5.7 mid 2020... global pandemic began fall 2019... do the math
@FrankVanmeenen @vandesteenellen Als je echt eerlijk wil zijn: basisreproductiegetal van de Wuhan variant werd mogelijks onderschat (2.4 ipv 5.7), en CFR was sowieso hoger, onder meer door gebrek aan ervaring en naïve pop. Zulte-Waregem maakt een kans tege
@RobiVil @Reflexionist_ 2. Non credo che nell'Europa Occidentale vaccinata la #Omicron avrà una diffusione come in UK dove sono state abolite le misure di contenimento, senza quelle misure anche la variante alfa ha un R0 alto R0 di 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9) ht
@itosettiMD_MBA @E_Ros1978 @giorgiogilestro @RobiVil 2. Ad esempio qui https://t.co/r06T6zUbUL troverai median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9) che indica che la contagiosità della variante alfa era 5,7 senza misure di contenimento e che nell'intervallo 3.
Reminder. Diese Studie aus dem Frühling 2020 war mit der Alpha-Variante. Mit Delta muss die Zahl der Immunisierten also wesentlich höher als 82% sein. Ohne Impfpflicht wie in Österreich oder sehr starke Anreize zu Impfen wie in Italien werden wir deshalb n
@TWenseleers @thomas_spaas Ik zal even contrarie doen. Slimmere mensen dan mij vermoedden dat de besmettelijkheid van de originele variant onderschat is (5.7 in plaats van 2.5). Dan moesten Spaanse, Britse, Zuid-Afrikaanse en Braziliaanse varianten en Del