New evidence on SARS-CoV-2 Doubling time of 2.3-3.3 days suggesting a much faster rate of spread than initially measured (6-7 days) and incubation period 4.2% https://t.co/klUm9Tt6G0 via @CDCgov
@transfix @MweneChanga @darklordtweetz @mattyglesias R0 is a moving target, but here's some of the more recent work on it in a society like China that isn't actively modifying their behavior (R0=5.7): https://t.co/4V4nYo68rZ That leaves negligible herd im
@RawlinsonGerry @TerryDugue @dbongino That's not R0, that's Rt, which is tracking the growth rate of the virus on+- 1 scale. That isn't tracking how infect rates of the virus, which is what R0 tracks. How many individual will get the virus from one individ
@JamieOklahoma @DrEricDing CDC lists COVID19 as midrange 5.7, which is extremely high: https://t.co/P44WM8VEVN Here's what R0 means: https://t.co/40Vpjt2qhC
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @lynneablanchard: @Rectitude20 There's also this from CDC and they can't prove the superspreader theory, though they try. https://t.co/…
@Rectitude20 There's also this from CDC and they can't prove the superspreader theory, though they try. https://t.co/JEWYXyJvEV
@JamesSurowiecki https://t.co/j9bzP3aZYa Seems that the gestation period for the virus is around 20 days, no matter what treatment options are adopted
@jnarcus @Haecceityme @catturd2 @kaitlancollins CDC lists COVID19 as midrange 5.7, which is extremely high: https://t.co/P44WM8VEVN Here's what R0 means: https://t.co/40Vpjt2qhC
RT @wgraham927: Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number…
@V2019N You do know this is an old paper and was CDC early released 3 months ago? Part of the hint is in the name of the virus: 2019-nCoV No idea why it reappeared (it doesn’t seem to have a version bump). Still an outlier from non-epidemologists. http
@AliBeckZeck @tlknuth How infectious it is is a huge issue so many of you are not understanding CDC lists COVID19 as midrange 5.7, which is extremely high: https://t.co/P44WM8VEVN Here's what R0 means: https://t.co/40Vpjt2qhC
RT @altNOAA: R0 value is 5.7. That's insane. #COVID19 https://t.co/K50cmmfqsS https://t.co/7cJajdMFFV
@yuji_oppa (실수로 멘션이 지워졌네요) 최근에는 5.7 까지 보는 뷰도 있습니다. https://t.co/Y3fP29xmBs
RT @danuribe: Game over! https://t.co/T1enGfEF9P
@hugocastrom ya que vienes hablando de R hace rato. Este estudio te va a interesar (hasta yo que soy un ignorante en estadísticas lo entendí).
RT @danuribe: Game over! https://t.co/T1enGfEF9P
For those interested in R0: "We collected extensive individual case reports across China and estimated key epidemiologic parameters, including the incubation period." https://t.co/QFkBvEdLCP
Assuming a serial interval of 6–9 days, we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9). Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/epluryXKRT
3/n Il s'agirait là du R0 "de base", celui qui se produirait si on ne faisait rien pour entraver la propagation de l'épidémie.https://t.co/s9uIQ851WE
@JakeSherman At R0=5.7, just one of those shitheels with a good virulent case getting a false negative from the unreliable Abbott machine should do it... https://t.co/hyAoRfV5iv
@joshtpm That's EXACTLY right. For a disease such as COVID-19 herd immunity is meaningless because it means almost everyone has to get infected to prevent spread: https://t.co/wGk3UdNW2E
CDC reporting an estimated R0 of 5.7 https://t.co/YW2jpw3MZJ
#COVID19 #COVIDー19 #COVID #CoronavirusPandemic #SARS_CoV_2 #SARSCoV2 Everyone needs to read this. https://t.co/r5QRUxlXEz https://t.co/wxxCwnItlg
I'm retweeting this, because EVERYONE NEEDS TO READ IT. ***** R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9). https://t.co/r5QRUxlXEz
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
كل مصاب بعدي تقريبًا ٦ من الأشخاص حوالينه، لو حكى أو عطس أو قح. https://t.co/eNBe74nlTk
@buchanan17 @delance2 @_MiguelHernan https://t.co/7Q8J7qNdp8 Published recently - mean R0 of 5.7. Their 95% confidence interval for R0 is 3.8-8.9 (!!!). Am sure plenty of others are working on it too.
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC @Twenty7dollars https://t.co/akQnWGksfy
@vikash_dhorasoo Peut être un début d’explication avec ça 🙄🙄🙄https://t.co/ZOjATDV9jg
@EarnestRedner @TinaBaumgartne6 @ChrisShu5 @Jennife29978459 @GavinNewsom Also here is a link to a CDC article that actually proposes the spread is higher than 2 people. https://t.co/0Cg7DAe2JP
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
Latest info on #COVID19 : Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC #coronavirus https://t.co/uoqpoqPwO6
@war_watch We’ve also noticed from the data that it’s highly contagious with 1 person infecting as many as 6. No vaccine. No treatment. From symptom onset to death in as little 13-20 days. Hospitalization to death in as little as 8 days. Latest research: h
@DoctorPurto @MonjeBravo 5.7 Covid 95% CI 3.8–8.9 https://t.co/Sm8nctJwPP
@jjsmclaughlin The other news is Nicola Sturgeon says the in-the-wild R0 is around 5 (not the 3 that Whitty and Vallance bandy around) and the CDC agrees with her (they say ~5.7) https://t.co/4SwfBWs4Cd This makes it as infectious as polio. A lot more pe
@1whoknu Two points: 1. The article implies that things are getting worse. They are not (as your tweet implicitly concedes). 2. The average time from infection to death is 20.4 days, according to https://t.co/j9bzP3aZYa.
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/0wZ4FQHm5B
@HershShefrin That new study I mentioned earlier was published by the CDC. "We found R0 is likely to be 5.7 given our current state of knowledge..." https://t.co/etdrJsyTmW
R-naught value (AKA basic reproduction number) is a measure of how many other people can be infected by one infected individual. It is key to evaluating reopening. Less than 1, disease will decline. More than 1, the disease will spread. More at https://t.c
@gpbmike @brian_d_vaughn @stubbornella It depends on the R0, from a CDC study: “But at R0 = 5.7, this threshold rises to 82% (i.e., >82% of the population has to be immune, through either vaccination or prior infection, to achieve herd immunity to stop
@anton5rus @max_katz Популляционный иммунитет: >82% of the population has to be immune, through either vaccination or prior infection, to achieve herd immunity to stop transmission https://t.co/K73V4EyA7f
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @AMcA32449832: Shit! Not good news. New CDC #covid #coronavirus #COVID19 report: R naught=5.7, not 2.2 (meaning 1 infected person infect…
@Ahmadrizik5
RT @AMcA32449832: Shit! Not good news. New CDC #covid #coronavirus #COVID19 report: R naught=5.7, not 2.2 (meaning 1 infected person infect…
RT @BostonsBuddha: Contagion. #COVID19 is more contagious than we thought.
Contagion. #COVID19 is more contagious than we thought.
RT @AMcA32449832: Shit! Not good news. New CDC #covid #coronavirus #COVID19 report: R naught=5.7, not 2.2 (meaning 1 infected person infect…
@mattwridley @neil_ferguson Clear that with current low levels of immunity in the population we could face final death toll that is 10x higher though than current one if we would like to achieve herd immunity. And R0 in the absence of any mitigation measur
@amateuradam pretty sure you mean R (effective reproduction number) instead of R0 (basic reproduction number). R0 for COVID-19 is between 3.8-8.9. source: https://t.co/82eBLkCBtu also where'd you get your numbers from?
@mikegalsworthy No, Mike, he got it from me, 33 days ago https://t.co/EQIMV7eZG1 🤣
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
@CBSEveningNews @SusanTaylorSD You do realize that that's for Germany? https://t.co/7dHdF3E2di This ^^^ preprint pegs R0 in USA at 5.7 - which is frightening.
Today we are discussing R0 and Pandemics during our @ohiostatemed Pandemic course. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/iQmfJNXPpk via @CDCgov
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/JygqhLb3Ti
@sarrazemmel @mikegalsworthy @Daltmann10 https://t.co/THiaJe1ppm ‘We found R0 is likely to be 5.7 given our current state of knowledge, with a broad 95% CI (3.8–8.9).’ So, whatever the govt says, a non superspreader infectious person on the tube, for exa
@SGeysenbergh @SvjatoslavG @ArmandVervaeck @HarrySpoelstra @Maggie_DeBlock we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9) https://t.co/MgVqUX9hVp
@mikegalsworthy R0 for seasonal flu is 1.3, but is higher for COVID 19, e.g. 2.28 here https://t.co/A2ZBEjdMNn or 5.7 here https://t.co/8taQyfQhLx
RT @ArditiMd: New estimate of contagiousness of SARS-CoV-2,. They calculate the reproduction number" (R0) to be ~5.7 -way higher than flu o…
RT @ArditiMd: New estimate of contagiousness of SARS-CoV-2,. They calculate the reproduction number" (R0) to be ~5.7 -way higher than flu o…
See #CDC article showing R0 = 5.7 in China from available data. https://t.co/Xm49E2nmVg
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
@danbarker And the crazy thing is that a leap to 1.5 can happen very quickly when you consider the median. https://t.co/TyLrubqral
RT @MatthiasUK: New data suggest R to be much higher which makes SARS-CoV2 highly contagious. #covid19 @NewcastleHosps @SMHopkins https://t…
New data suggest R to be much higher which makes SARS-CoV2 highly contagious. #covid19 @NewcastleHosps @SMHopkins https://t.co/UR4Xm3LhgF
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC #España @abc_es @elmundoes @AFPespanol https://t.co/J2DXo9eEJr
RT @victornizet: New estimate of the of the "basic reproduction number" (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 at 5.7 Way higher than Flu (1.0-2.0) or Ebola (…
New Estimates Suggest the Basis Reproductive Number (Ro) for COVID-19 In Wuhan May Have Been 5.7 | @scoopit https://t.co/BnVhXLFuWb
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @iddux: New estimate of R0 for COVID19: 5.7. https://t.co/QEys7dZ0md via @CDCgov
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @victornizet: New estimate of the of the "basic reproduction number" (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 at 5.7 Way higher than Flu (1.0-2.0) or Ebola (…
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
RT @iddux: New estimate of R0 for COVID19: 5.7. https://t.co/QEys7dZ0md via @CDCgov
RT @victornizet: New estimate of the of the "basic reproduction number" (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 at 5.7 Way higher than Flu (1.0-2.0) or Ebola (…
@pjp195501 @MichaelArt123 The median R0 may be closer to 6 than 2 when not performing distancing correctly. If you do the math, that means these two cases could have infected 11 people on their own. https://t.co/lumNLSFMxT
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @victornizet: New estimate of the of the "basic reproduction number" (R0) of SARS-CoV-2 at 5.7 Way higher than Flu (1.0-2.0) or Ebola (…
RT @mlipsitch: 3. There is respectable work that suggests R0 more in range of 4-5 or more https://t.co/P6sJOH3fe5 with faster doubling tim…
@Iamnesan @spinesurgeon COVID-19 is not "beyond our imagination", in fact it is the most well studied pandemic in history of human kind. COVID-19 has a median R0 of 5.7 (https://t.co/gc34SitZCd) Measles, chickenpox, mumps, and polio all have higher R0 valu
RT @nataliexdean: Point #1. There is still way too much uncertainty. What even is R0? Remember that R0 is context-specific. Britton et al…
RT @ArditiMd: New estimate of contagiousness of SARS-CoV-2,. They calculate the reproduction number" (R0) to be ~5.7 -way higher than flu o…