https://t.co/xkveFOsBJ8 あと3、4回は波がくると言われてますし、これまでの歴史を見てもこれで終わるわけはないと思います。 今回の緊急事態宣言を耐えれば何とかなるみたいな人にはちゃんと教えた方が良いと思うのですが。 #NHK
RT @adamhamdy: @NickTriggle @karamballes @halfon4harlowMP With new variants circulating that show the potential for immune escape, it is in…
RT @NafeezAhmed: This is a terrifying but sadly plausible projection, underscoring the urgency of a #ZeroCovid strategy
RT @NafeezAhmed: This is a terrifying but sadly plausible projection, underscoring the urgency of a #ZeroCovid strategy https://t.co/biNAWN…
RT @NafeezAhmed: This is a terrifying but sadly plausible projection, underscoring the urgency of a #ZeroCovid strategy
RT @NafeezAhmed: This is a terrifying but sadly plausible projection, underscoring the urgency of a #ZeroCovid strategy https://t.co/biNAWN…
This is a terrifying but sadly plausible projection, underscoring the urgency of a #ZeroCovid strategy
Kita harus bersabar dan harus siap, setidaknya (paling cepat) sampai akhir tahun 2021 akan menjalani PSBB/PPKM atau apapun istilahnya secara berkala alias buka/tutup. . . . https://t.co/IvFX0KaG5g https://t.co/yVkOYN6lFl
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period https://t.co/25A1tJkCeu #socialdistancing #peaktransmission #COVID19
@arrrrrraaaaaaa @folqs @collegemenfess Iya. Sejak April 2020, Harvard School of Public Health udah ngeluarin paper, yep, social distancing akan berlangsung smp 2022 bahkan smp 2025. https://t.co/oShYQtmV4s
@XeroxHolmes4 @Paulo08631563 @pingo1313 @raphaeu @fonseca_mundim @CNNBrasil Mas não falei de lockdown (embora eu fosse um apoiador do lockdown no início quando ainda não tinham quebrado o país) vocês costumam confundir muito as duas coisas não precisei de
RT @AirborneKanki: 2020.5.22. Science [Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period] Marc Lipsitch先生ら…
RT @AirborneKanki: 2020.5.22. Science [Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period] Marc Lipsitch先生ら…
RT @AirborneKanki: 2020.5.22. Science [Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period] Marc Lipsitch先生ら…
RT @AirborneKanki: 2020.5.22. Science [Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period] Marc Lipsitch先生ら…
2020.5.22. Science [Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period] Marc Lipsitch先生ら@mlipsitch https://t.co/q2flcccys7
@PaulineWiesel @F_I_Briest @DJanecek @tazgezwitscher @PresseratDE Die im Frühjahr in Europa zirkulierende Variante war schon weitaus ansteckender als die in Wuhan zirkulierende. C. Drosten ging von einer Saisonalität des Virus aus, bis er ein Paper welche
@Fyodor32768 So, people write papers like this one and you can compare the seasonal forcing factors with the estimates on the new strain. https://t.co/lcyVIMU4TX
https://t.co/sCfx7wASCp 交差免疫はあれど免疫は一年持たず、 インフルエンザのように毎年新株か新種か対応ワクチンが必要? ソーシャルディスタンスを取ることが最善。 つまりは 三密を避けマスク手洗い換気だ。 一斉検査による抑止のためには毎日すべての人が同時に実施でもしない限り無理では?
@mab_sp125 @tatiroque @alvarobianchi "To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022." https://t.co/uGGIlD7skb
RT @VictorHG994: @Rosario_Sasieta El 2021 solo será una prolongación del 2020. La inmunidad de grupo recién se alcanzara a mediados del 20…
https://t.co/vzSpFIlezR あと5回くらいはロックダウンが必要、今年の末までは感染は続くと予測が出ています。 政府やマスコミはなぜ今だけに集中するのか。終わりはいずれきます。それが不確かではあるけど、、それを示すのがリーダーだと思います。 #コロナの終わり
・ハーバードより報告 クリティカルなケア能力、医療が大幅に向上するか、 ワクチンが利用可能にならない限り、2022年まで断続的な距離(政策や感染対策等)が必要か。 https://t.co/f1kSWHItzY
@Rosario_Sasieta El 2021 solo será una prolongación del 2020. La inmunidad de grupo recién se alcanzara a mediados del 2022 eso si es que todos los parámetros siguen iguales. A cuidarse que esto está muy lejos de acabar https://t.co/VqQZScU9x7 https://t.
@takashimatetsuo 全部読んでないですけど2022年まで断続的な自粛が続くと昨年の記事に出てましたよね😵 https://t.co/MZXAOZCPQs
英語圏ではこういう記事が出回っている。新型コロナ等ではなく急性重呼吸器症候群とマスコミは言う。政策論争してるの日本だけ笑Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period | Science https://t.co/Rf9O1cMJsR
@DerNiederbayer @proletin @CarstenBKK @Silviawhat Ich habe tatsächlich eine Stunde nach dem Paper gesucht: https://t.co/BUl01ZoyJS
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period ...... recurrent wintertime outbreaks are likely to occur in coming years. The total incidence of SARS-CoV-2 through 2025 will depend crucially on this duration of immunity
@higginsdavidw Cases (but not contacts) aged 18 and younger are excluded. And it's a seven day average. Plus it's growth rate [and whether community or managed outbreak] that matters, and in winter the normal boost is x1.2-1.6 to that [1.3 from this paper
RT @VanDerVerax: 11🧵 Más datos acerca de lo que podemos esperar en relación a la Covid, por cierto sigan esta cuenta una científica preocup…
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period https://t.co/TSUUIhKuCf
RT @chayito09: @mapyalvarez @tatianotzin No lo digo yo, aunque sí analizamos todo el conjunto y la mayoría de las personas están vacunadas…
@mapyalvarez @tatianotzin No lo digo yo, aunque sí analizamos todo el conjunto y la mayoría de las personas están vacunadas a finales del 2021. La “normalidad” estaría de regreso en el 2022. Aquí la información:
RT @_nickdavies: @BibblerBrizzy @1nationtory @i_petersen Thanks Brizzy—Kissler et al estimate that other coronaviruses have ~25% higher R0…
RT @_nickdavies: @BibblerBrizzy @1nationtory @i_petersen Thanks Brizzy—Kissler et al estimate that other coronaviruses have ~25% higher R0…
RT @_nickdavies: @BibblerBrizzy @1nationtory @i_petersen Thanks Brizzy—Kissler et al estimate that other coronaviruses have ~25% higher R0…
@BibblerBrizzy @1nationtory @i_petersen Thanks Brizzy—Kissler et al estimate that other coronaviruses have ~25% higher R0 at the peak of winter than the trough of summer https://t.co/K3TuUo9ubQ. Our estimates for increased transmissibility of VOC are relat
RT @VanDerVerax: 11🧵 Más datos acerca de lo que podemos esperar en relación a la Covid, por cierto sigan esta cuenta una científica preocup…
RT @sakai_web: 論文URL https://t.co/EcdV14i5KB 個人の考えなのですが、コロナが逆に長く続くようなのであれば、 「この冬だけ乗り切れば」 「ここが最重要な分岐点」 とかの話は全く意味なくなってくるわけです これからはコロナに対応しなが…
11🧵 Más datos acerca de lo que podemos esperar en relación a la Covid, por cierto sigan esta cuenta una científica preocupada y sus publicaciones de 1er mundo. @G05Vi, dejó su hilo. https://t.co/CHhhGzgD1Z
RT @sakai_web: 論文URL https://t.co/EcdV14i5KB 個人の考えなのですが、コロナが逆に長く続くようなのであれば、 「この冬だけ乗り切れば」 「ここが最重要な分岐点」 とかの話は全く意味なくなってくるわけです これからはコロナに対応しなが…
RT @sakai_web: 論文URL https://t.co/EcdV14i5KB 個人の考えなのですが、コロナが逆に長く続くようなのであれば、 「この冬だけ乗り切れば」 「ここが最重要な分岐点」 とかの話は全く意味なくなってくるわけです これからはコロナに対応しなが…
論文URL https://t.co/EcdV14i5KB 個人の考えなのですが、コロナが逆に長く続くようなのであれば、 「この冬だけ乗り切れば」 「ここが最重要な分岐点」 とかの話は全く意味なくなってくるわけです これからはコロナに対応しながら無理せず永遠に続けられる生活習慣を新たに身につけなければいけない
@mab_sp125 E antes de ser chamado de terraplanista negacionista obscurantista: https://t.co/sT2GFNipkU
11/ Prescient modeling study informed by seasonal CoVs, foretelling the shitshow that would ensue “post” lockdown. @yhgrad is a close friend; when he texted me a working version of Fig 5 in early March, I got my first inklings of what 2020 might become. h
@Guilher67465246 @nandxs_elect Só sendo uma pessoa estúpida pra duvidar que o isolamento social seja eficaz na contenção de uma doença de transmissão respiratória, isso indo só pelo pensamento mecanicista. Mas se quiser o embasamento científico, com 5 minu
RT @bergerbell: @jbarro California went all-in on a strategy, that, if it failed — and it predictably would, given not sealing borders and/…
RT @mlipsitch: @WesPegden Yes for example our extremely simple model https://t.co/eN2wousRhG showed that one-shot distancing that pushes th…
RT @bergerbell: @jbarro California went all-in on a strategy, that, if it failed — and it predictably would, given not sealing borders and/…
RT @bergerbell: @jbarro California went all-in on a strategy, that, if it failed — and it predictably would, given not sealing borders and/…
RT @mlipsitch: @WesPegden Yes for example our extremely simple model https://t.co/eN2wousRhG showed that one-shot distancing that pushes th…
RT @mlipsitch: @WesPegden Yes for example our extremely simple model https://t.co/eN2wousRhG showed that one-shot distancing that pushes th…
@1987Andrewk @Mark_Coughlan When chatting to @RachelLavin I mentioned that R could increase by x1.25-1.6 in winter [it's ~1.3 in https://t.co/TJP5qb9P37] That would bring your 8% indoor dining from NI summer daily growth to 13-15% (serial interval 4-5),
@latsondheimer @Marsuka It would be great if you reviewed some clinical/scientific info in public domain that might or might not be included in @GavinNewsom’s approach to formulate ideas to better serve youth. https://t.co/5bSdV1toqA
RT @pawinpawin: สงสัยท่าจะจริง https://t.co/Q1zh5Sk3V6
RT @pawinpawin: งานวิจัยด้านการทำโมเดลพบว่า เราอาจจะต้องปิดๆ เปิดๆ social distancing ยาวๆ ไปอีกสามปี และ #COVID19 จะระบาดเป็นระยะๆ https:/…
RT @pawinpawin: สงสัยท่าจะจริง
RT @pawinpawin: สงสัยท่าจะจริง
@ndyagif Maybe not until 2022 (hopefully not!) https://t.co/o3rAx8E14E
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @pawinpawin: สงสัยท่าจะจริง
RT @pawinpawin: สงสัยท่าจะจริง https://t.co/Q1zh5Sk3V6
สงสัยท่าจะจริง
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
Selective “science”-ing.
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
Here’s some real “science.” Modeling back in May that showed hard lockdowns would lead to sharp second peaks. This virus does not give a damn about public policy. https://t.co/Pl3dqTQkxe
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
RT @somnathsikdar: @AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks.…
@AlexBerenson We had modeling back in may that predicted hard, prolonged lockdowns would lead to sharper second peaks. https://t.co/sAUXz13Y86
@JovemPanNews @AdrillesRJorge Logo na 1ª linha, cheia de adjetivos demonizando TODOS q discordam de vc (derrubando, assim, qualquer objetividade da sua matéria), é cometido um engano. Isolamento social, sim, tem base científica aprovada por vários papers q
@EmilyPetro22 @mlipsitch @nay_sue1 @HelenTeaPot @MartinKulldorff @AJKayWriter @JordanSchachtel Seems like California may have fallen into this trap? https://t.co/GxIyhhV3sm
RT @AtomsksSanakan: PapersOfTheDay "Estimating the herd immunity threshold by accounting for the hidden asymptomatics using a COVID-19 spe…
PapersOfTheDay "Estimating the herd immunity threshold by accounting for the hidden asymptomatics using a COVID-19 specific model" https://t.co/y69b47p3pJ https://t.co/ktX8yKSm7Y “Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the [...]” htt
@MBittencourtMD Esse estudo (um dos primeiros que lembro usado pela mídia pra falar do tema) sugere um distanciamento intermitente como mais eficaz e aponta ainda o distanciamento temporário severo como causa de ressurgência elevada. https://t.co/sT2GFNipk
@alchemytoday @sdbaral @Reasonableques3 @Marco_Piani @VPrasadMDMPH While the specific paper you are talking about does model some heterogeneity, it is not transparent or replicable and in particular it is not clear how much heterogeneity they model. Other
RT @augustodeAB: Fio muito bom sobre o estudo de médicos de Harvard divulgado ontem. https://t.co/PbbZnkvuH4
@NetoEmerson7804 @viniciussexto @ViddaBR Estudo sobre a eficacia do distanciamento social. https://t.co/axSBfl2OIX
@viniciussexto larga de ser burro e vai estudar um pouco Estudo sobre a eficacia do distanciamento social. https://t.co/axSBfl2OIX
@NetoEmerson7804 @nandomartinirj @viniciussexto Estudo sobre a eficacia do distanciamento social. https://t.co/axSBfl2OIX