RT @tsuyomiyakawa: 社会的距離を保ちながら送る生活を2022まで続ける必要がある可能性等について指摘しているサイエンス論文(ハーバード大の公衆衛生の研究者たちによる)。 COVID-19以前とは全く異なる「新しい日常」を検討する必要がありそうですね。 http…
@ranted_mask @Heisse13 @dokhollidays @EckerleIsabella Ja, und gibt da ein Paper auf das Drosten sich früh bezog. Kissler et al. Immunität von so 40 Wochen. https://t.co/QaBf0NSfhP
friendly reminder to read this publication from early 2020 until effective vaccines we should gard surveillance our behaviour is decisive for transmission lifting all mitigation & observation tools is madness read the article to the end
@michielbosgra @XanderKoolman @Chr1stenJohn @GijsvanLoef @JOMierau @richardalive @JKNL @ArmandGirbes @DaanDohmen @MaasAngela @JimvanOs1 Kennen we deze nog, de projectie tot 2025 voor Covid? https://t.co/Gncf9prL0B
RT @Daniel_E_Park: They also importantly point out that "If immunity to SARS-CoV-2 is not permanent, it will likely enter into regular circ…
@MaryanneDemasi @MartyMakary Epidemiologists correctly assumed duration of natural immunity and endemicity from day 1 based off endemic hCoVs and SARS-CoV-1. https://t.co/kfIn34Vbeb Marty on the other hand has gotten this wrong repeatedly and is now arguin
RT @Daniel_E_Park: @19joho Yes, he gets herd immunity completely wrong. Then he claimed under oath in congress that public health officials…
@19joho Yes, he gets herd immunity completely wrong. Then he claimed under oath in congress that public health officials "forgot" about herd immunity. Meanwhile epidemiologists were using herd immunity levels to correctly forecast waves and save lives http
Kan det finnas andra anledningar till att influensan plötsligt "försvann" 2020-21?
@OscarTengmark @veteprotein @_jb79_ Nej. Men frånvaron av influensa (som kan ta fart med R~1.5) etc 2020–21 tyder väl på att förändringar i kontakter minskade R med >1/3 under stora delar av perioden. Säsongseffekten på R kan också vara av den storlekso
@GidMK From day 1, we estimated immunity from natural infection to be between 40w - 2y (confirmed by the recent Lancet study). It's Marty who gets immunity fantastically wrong - predicting COVID would go away right before Delta came along https://t.co/9Q9k
@MartyMakary @AllysiaFinley @WSJopinion No reasonable public health officials denied immunity from infection. We used them from day 1 to inform our disease models, and we got the immunity estimates right on btw. https://t.co/adll5FG6PH
@BringAWarrant @MartyMakary Ah right, I should clarify - no epidemiologists, or anyone working in infectious disease research would doubt there is immunity from infection. It's foundational to our work. https://t.co/gFaFwv2L2H
@YourBro91760395 @DaveCun87374470 @futurepundit @MartyMakary Conspiracy? In March 2020 we estimated immunity from infection to last b/w 40w and 2y using hCoVs and SARS-CoV-1, as confirmed by the recent lancet study. As a bonus, this paper also correctly pr
@TheEliKlein Here's one example of what epidemiologists do. Out in April 2020. Estimated immunity b/w 40w and 2y, as confirmed by the lancet study. It also correctly predicted every US COVID wave w/in 2-3m of when they occured. https://t.co/kfIn34Vbeb
They also importantly point out that "If immunity to SARS-CoV-2 is not permanent, it will likely enter into regular circulation". Kind of a no-brainer for epi folks but seems to have taken a lot of people by surprise. https://t.co/1ZbbM4BTBL
👀🤓
@MichaelSFuhrer An even better one from early in the pandemic by Lipsitch and colleagues that shows more or less the same. https://t.co/iPqaoWS21j
@GrutterStephan Hast du Quelle für die Zahlen? Ich kenn so 42 Wochen anhaltende Immunität nach Infektion für HKU1 und OC43 Quelle: https://t.co/QaBf0NSfhP
@BitcoinMiningWA @o0oRoxxtaro0o @Dirtyba50329415 @JacobRAdkins @LPNational @POTUS In countries where they had less deaths & less infected, they used measures like isolating & masking to avoid the spread. They were predicting where this would go fro
@philipcball I'll always remember reading this, and getting to Figure 3 and realising that (more than likely) we were in this for the long-haul... https://t.co/3JuNqNaOfl
The mentioned "highly influential paper", April 2020: https://t.co/xmUgvXctpM
@andrewtanyongyi @whippletom @TAH_Sci @james_e_b_ @Rajeev_The_King @evolambert @profvrr Added this in another thread. Published April 2020 https://t.co/hONu8BKwVT
@TAH_Sci @whippletom @james_e_b_ @Rajeev_The_King @evolambert And look at this. Multiple models with reasonable possible factors that were at the time unknown (seasonality, cross immunity, duration of immunity) published 4/20 and preprint up before that. h
@DarkLadyMouse @stebellentani studio di Harvard pubblicato su Science, ha determinato che la pandemia avrà una durata da 2 a 4 anni. Ci saranno ondate a distanza di 3-4 mesi che, se saremo persone consapevoli, avranno picchi sempre più bassi. Altrimenti ar
https://t.co/r97bJfKaQS Il vero problema dei nostri tempi é che nonostante riusciamo a prevedere scientificamente gli eventi ce ne fottiamo e andiamo avanti come se fossimo all'oscuro di tutto. #covid
@SixandLaura @NoyesJHumphrey @jmcrookston Here we properly establish early in pandemic current use of “mitigation” vs Precautionary Principle cause pandemic last 5 yrs. How cross-reactive immunity not promote herd immunity. Elaborate SARS eradication. Indi
PPS--but i can find a paper showing that other seasonal coronaviruses have a single annual peak. https://t.co/pMeDXue5ch https://t.co/SywQOK8OCg
@_sono_luminus_ @Ulli_O @Michael_Kunz …war definitiv auch für CD eine neue Erkenntnis. Eine Immunität gegen jegliche Infektion wird es wohl so nie geben. CD hat hier wohl eher den Schweregrad der Krankheit im Blick. Hier das hochinteressant Paper von Kissl
Just to revisit...scientists already told us this might happen...
RT @Travisdhanraj: #NEW: A new study by @Harvard researchers published in @ScienceMagazine finds "The overall duration of the SARS-CoV-2 ep…
I was looking for something else and came across this tweet from two years ago which seemed terribly depressing at the time but was, it turns out, quite accurate. And depressing. It's still depressing. Wear a mask, ding dongs! Covid is not over. #WearAMa
@Jonatasesp @folha Vamos sim! Segue outro estudo, mostrando a eficácia do isolamento social e uma leitura do site da Fiocruz pra você. https://t.co/OhpAqRHfLZ https://t.co/Q35Q4xvIZN
@CapitanTOC ;( https://t.co/MS0YKjkYeS Yo leí esto en mayo 2020 y me deprimió pero luego ya me dio como mmm paz o resignación tranquila. Igual y ya agregando lo que se ha aprendido pueden cambiar los resultados de los modelos. Sí no, pues yo ya me hice
RT @ElihuofBarachel: El 14 de abri de 2020 un estudio publicado en la revista @ScienceMagazine Llegó a esta conclusión: "Un escenario es qu…
RT @ElihuofBarachel: El 14 de abri de 2020 un estudio publicado en la revista @ScienceMagazine Llegó a esta conclusión: "Un escenario es qu…
RT @ElihuofBarachel: El 14 de abri de 2020 un estudio publicado en la revista @ScienceMagazine Llegó a esta conclusión: "Un escenario es qu…
RT @ElihuofBarachel: El 14 de abri de 2020 un estudio publicado en la revista @ScienceMagazine Llegó a esta conclusión: "Un escenario es qu…
RT @ElihuofBarachel: El 14 de abri de 2020 un estudio publicado en la revista @ScienceMagazine Llegó a esta conclusión: "Un escenario es qu…
El 14 de abri de 2020 un estudio publicado en la revista @ScienceMagazine Llegó a esta conclusión: "Un escenario es que podría ocurrir un resurgimiento del SARS-CoV-2 en el futuro hasta 2025." Nunca creía que las cosas llegarían a ese punto, hoy en 2022.
@LongDesertTrain @trvrb I think not enough is yet known about how virulence will attenuate based on distant, prior infections (year over year). I think this paper covers this topic pretty well https://t.co/JGzaMMO7gV Some other groups may have greater con
@Baduacu @NeurivanMaia @Gustozin @reinaldoazevedo @jairbolsonaro Sim. Salva vidas. O uso da lógica já é suficiente para solucionar essa questão. Os estudos só reforçam o óbvio. https://t.co/aYpNSUAVy9
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
RT @PeterHotez: After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at lea…
After that, hard to say, I still think of the model from @mlipsitch @HarvardChanSPH predicting regular winter surges at least for a while. He wrote this paper in @ScienceMagazine early in the pandemic but I think it still holds up https://t.co/No1dkWIh1l
@AllieCrenshaw12 Very plausible, many of the measures implemented likely made things worse. Increased ventilation and sanitation probably a food thing tho. We should have “re-opened” with focused protection in May of 2020: https://t.co/YW0dtyqww8
@mpfantini90 @ArqJeanclaudino @folha https://t.co/2t1e3UvLb7 https://t.co/Cw5j8kPE7A Se souber inglês divirta-se.
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
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RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
Lembro exatamente do dia que li esse artigo, o post e vídeos do Átila sobre o andamento da pandemia. Cheguei a comentar com poucas pessoas sobre isso, todas juraram q era sensacionalismo barato de cientista (?????) e q em poucos dias tudo voltaria a ser c
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @oatila: Segue o estudo: https://t.co/LZJTaa7fOU
RT @AirborneKanki: 2020.5.22. Science [Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period] Marc Lipsitch先生ら…
【普通の風邪のウィルスが世界を救うか】(更新して再掲) 『サイエンス』(2020年4月14日) https://t.co/PZY1qKC3ON
RT @Michigan_Noah: And it's not just about vaccines. A lot of this also has to do with the fact that we don't have comprehensive surveillan…