@leahmcelrath @MaxKennerly This is not my area of expertise. Struggling with two different models and two different Doubling & R0 values. CDC Model>> Doubling=2.3-3.3 days, R0=5.7 model. IC Model>> Doubling = 5 days, R0=2.0-2.6. https:
RT @AlistairHaimes: R0 5.7, 95% CI 3.8-8.9. If deaths are accurate, this must mean a far higher % population infected; antibody tests co…
@naval R0 higher - 5.7 https://t.co/aQ1IE2CTvr
R0 5.7, 95% CI 3.8-8.9. If deaths are accurate, this must mean a far higher % population infected; antibody tests could be missing this if not enough being produced in young healthy subjects? https://t.co/iEQeUAZQKa
@emmevilla Bravissimo e grazie. Ha visto il recente paper in cui si stima R0 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9) https://t.co/qKOOlp4qNY
Sprider sig ruskigt fort. https://t.co/kWdXJE9AQa
@tverbeiren @_roedel Vind het nogal moeilijk om te volgen. De programmeertaal komt mij vaag bekend voor. Wat ik wel opgepikt heb, o.a. hier https://t.co/PwbbIVXKns, is dat om een variabele als R0 te schatten (of gelijk welke orde moment van een skewed dist
RT @jlz0z: @chrisnayloruk That's right. The R0 value of the virus in the wild has not changed and the CDC recently revised upwards their e…
@ASlavitt https://t.co/on0mvtyF6j "We found R0 is likely to be 5.7 given our current state of knowledge, with a broad 95% CI (3.8–8.9)."
RT @aaronklemz: At R0 = 5.7, 4 out of 5 Minnesotans would need to be infected and recover in order to acheive "herd immunity." That's a lot…
@mfkuepp @LazarusLong13 @stephensenn @trishgreenhalgh @BBCRadio4 @eliowa Not at all. The 5.7 is an estimate from China data in EID. It’s not a firm/conclusive number & doesn’t take into account any interventions. There are different ways of calculating
@eliowa @mfkuepp @LazarusLong13 @stephensenn @trishgreenhalgh @BBCRadio4 Not a consensus average. That’s based on the new-ish paper at EID, based on data from China. I wrote it up at Forbes. https://t.co/qU52DAuIKY Lots of caveats, but I figure it’s reaso
@chrisnayloruk That's right. The R0 value of the virus in the wild has not changed and the CDC recently revised upwards their estimate of it. It's now been given a similar level of contagiousness to polio (R0 = ~5.7) https://t.co/4SwfBWs4Cd
@yonatan_c I haven’t read this through yet completely. https://t.co/CVyMSkQsOS
RT @maiamajumder: @ProfMattFox There were actually at least two other estimates in this range that came out at the end of January. I talk a…
Los resultados prepublicados por el equipo de epidemiología del Laboratorio Nacional de Los Alamos muestran que el tiempo de duplicación es más bien de 2,3 o 3,3 días, con un R0 de 5,7 de media @agaviriau @DrRomainBrunel @ZulmaCucunuba @JFernandeznino h
RT @jessemckinley: "The rate of infection is everything," @NYGovCuomo Early projection models overestimated the higher rate of spread, he…
RT @jessemckinley: The movie "Contagion" got into this: https://t.co/46Igo36ip3
RT @jessemckinley: The movie "Contagion" got into this: https://t.co/46Igo36ip3
The movie "Contagion" got into this: https://t.co/46Igo36ip3
"The rate of infection is everything," @NYGovCuomo Early projection models overestimated the higher rate of spread, he says; known in epidemiology as the R-0 rate. https://t.co/b4mMOb3ER4
@david_vuorio @lindbergpolemik @FredrikHakola @emanuelkarlsten Och samma svar från mig. ”Assuming a serial interval of 6–9 days, we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9).” https://t.co/1psTckE5sQ
@david_vuorio @lindbergpolemik @FredrikHakola @emanuelkarlsten Mjo. ”Assuming a serial interval of 6–9 days, we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9). ” https://t.co/1psTckE5sQ
@PierrePaufique Bonjour Pierre, merci pour votre complément d‘information. Le taux de contagiosité „de base“ du SARS-Cov-2 est en effet nettement supérieur, comme vous le précisez. Initialement estimé entre 2 et 3, il a été revu récemment à la hausse ➡️
Complément d‘information sur le taux de reproduction de base du SARS-Cov-2 ➡️ https://t.co/bds791edRR
Le taux de reproduction de base du SARS-Cov-2, initialement estimé entre 2 et 3 (voir https://t.co/gTZZTCQ9hl) a été réévalué fortement à la hausse en avril : entre 3.8 et 8.9 (voir https://t.co/Yn6VEdiuv4). Merci à @PierrePaufique de me l‘avoir fait préc
@Aristion_1 @pvlimni @serkot65 Το Ro κοντά στο 5 προκύπτει από τον αμερικάνικο CDC (τον επίσημο φορέα) και την επίσημη έρευνα που έκανε για τον Covid. Source: https://t.co/XnkF6DxV5y https://t.co/XzVNQ2On9R
Réévaluation américaine de l'épidémie à #Wuhan : - Temps de doublement 2 fois plus court (2 à 3 jours au lieu de 6) - R0 2 fois plus important (5,7 au lieu de 2,7) que les données initiales. => Surveillance active, recherche des contacts, nécessaires
RT @BodoKnudsen: This study based on Chinese data suggest COVID-19 may be a lot more contagious than initially thought with R0 value of 5.7…
High Contagiousness & Rapid Spread of Coronavirus 2 ".dynamics of outbreak in Wuhan, suggested a doubling time number of infected persons of 6–7 days, basic reproductive number (R0) 2.2–2.7. NOTE: SEE DISCUSSION 1ST! https://t.co/6O7LsZqg97 (cdc .go
High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Coronavirus 2 Initial estimates of early dynamics of outbreak in Wuhan, China, suggested a doubling time of number of infected persons of 6–7 days and a basic reproductive number (R0) of 2.2–2.7. https://t.co/6O7Ls
RT @DanRosenheck: But let's just explore consequences of a low-ish IFR scenario—say 0.3%, so "just" ~3x flu. What would this mean? First, i…
@BetsQuant Link to CDC source: https://t.co/5JU7aPOH3v
RT @lsf58: New estimate of the R0 for COVID-19 during the Wuhan outbreak in a paper in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases: basically…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
Just saw this R0 of 5.7. I can barely believe it. https://t.co/X5qe2hGLmS
RT @DIVIZIO1: Réévaluation des données: temps de doublement deux fois plus court R0 deux fois plus important ( 5,5)!mais sinon on peut deco…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
@tan123 @NadineDorries , goodluck getting effective vaccine... https://t.co/59A3gbPWRp
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @antonioripa: Non ci sono altre strade miracolose, e non è possibile pensare di costruire il futuro sulle speranze sempre meno concrete…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
RT @joethebrew: New, adjusted R-nought estimate for Wuhan outbreak of... 5.7 (!) Implications: -At Ro of 2.2: only 55% immunity needed fo…
The new R0 for COVID19 in studies like this is staggering 5.7. This may tell two things 1) Significant amount of population has already contracted/recovered from the disease( my estimate 15-20% and more for some countries) 2) Antibody testing is critical
@oliverbeige @Newmanalia It sounds like their upper end R0 would be better as a low end https://t.co/owqHdHf3Dl https://t.co/hzqy9HxT3p
RT @DIVIZIO1: Réévaluation des données: temps de doublement deux fois plus court R0 deux fois plus important ( 5,5)!mais sinon on peut deco…
WHATTTT? 2 weeks ago it was 2.5 It's crazy out there.
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
RT @ZTan14377: New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d original…
New study shows that the R0 value for SARS-CoV-2 is 5.7. It means that the disease is far more contagious than we’d originally estimated and it’ll last much longer. (Doesn’t necessarily follow that it’s deadlier than we’d believed) https://t.co/j8zJzQ9irh
RT @LukaszBok: Współczynnik reprodukcji R0 SARS-CoV-2 może wynosić nawet 5.7! Czyli jedna osoba zakaża średnio 5.7 innych. Dotychczasowe sz…
RT @normanswan: Just one study but scary if true. Social distancing is the main defence. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acu…
Coronavirus basic reproductive number, R0 ~ 5.7, according to article in Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/M3GwBzE6i9 via @CDCgov #covid19 https://t.co/G14NA9o1SH
RT @LaMicroMola: @ligero999 @Amonterodel Muy bueno, como siempre! Dos detalles, el R0 se recalculó recientemente en 5.7 https://t.co/NTjJi…
RT @maiamajumder: So, a new #COVID19 paper [https://t.co/gOCkSTC9mi] recently estimated a median R_0 of 5.7 based off of data from Wuhan.…
RT @DIVIZIO1: Réévaluation des données: temps de doublement deux fois plus court R0 deux fois plus important ( 5,5)!mais sinon on peut deco…
That's a lie. H1N1 went around the world anyway and it wasn't even as transmissible (or deadly) as SARS-COV-2. Ebola wasn't as transmissible either. H1N1 had an R0 of 1.47 and Ebola's was 1.5-2.5. SARS-COV-2's R0 is estimated at a massive 5.7! 😷 htt
@SethMacFarlane Which is a lie. H1N1 went around the world anyway and it wasn't even as transmissible (or deadly) as SARS-COV-2. Ebola wasn't as transmissible either. H1N1 had an R0 of 1.47 and Ebola 1.5-2.5. SARS-COV-2's R0 is a massive 5.7 https:/
@ortosky @NC_Governor Great job R0 appears to value an updated value around 5.7 if anyone can confirm? https://t.co/UpRREKFupU https://t.co/zel8BPgZ19
RT @aaronklemz: At R0 = 5.7, 4 out of 5 Minnesotans would need to be infected and recover in order to acheive "herd immunity." That's a lot…
@Nickrad0911 @JWSpry @heedfulike @BarackObama @CDCgov High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/P44WM8VEVN
Initial estimates pegged #Covid_19 's ability to spread as slightly higher than the flu Estimates from mobile phone travel data in China shows that the average COVID patient infects ~6 other people https://t.co/4zVCqBMUrj
R0=2.5がワーストケースシナリオって、全然ワーストじゃないよね?説。CDCは5.7あるんじゃないかと言っている訳で https://t.co/lKvefL7SPi
@goose_mn @SKihne @VanillaJoe4 @mnhealth @PublicHealthUMN @IHME_UW @imperialcollege @neil_ferguson From CDC: Estimates of heard immunity (point at which infections die off) range from 55-82% https://t.co/Mrp6WbsmqF
RT @AliciaTDennis: SARS-CoV-2 Incubation time:4 days Symptom to death time:16 days If uncontrolled there is doubling of cases every 2-3 day…
@NJ_4_Trump @littlebillie @SidneyPowell1 @BernardKerik @SteveForbesCEO Because they've now determined the midline R0 is 5.7 High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/P44WM8VEVN
@Bob_Wachter Possibly much higher R0? https://t.co/YzWa84XCEg
RT @DIVIZIO1: Réévaluation des données: temps de doublement deux fois plus court R0 deux fois plus important ( 5,5)!mais sinon on peut deco…
RT @DIVIZIO1: Réévaluation des données: temps de doublement deux fois plus court R0 deux fois plus important ( 5,5)!mais sinon on peut deco…
Réévaluation des données: temps de doublement deux fois plus court R0 deux fois plus important ( 5,5)!mais sinon on peut deconfiner sans masques et tests et envoyer nos enfants à l'école #putaindepays https://t.co/oXpVVd8eDg
RT @LaMicroMola: @ligero999 @Amonterodel Muy bueno, como siempre! Dos detalles, el R0 se recalculó recientemente en 5.7 https://t.co/NTjJi…
@threadreaderapp please unroll
RT @kentarotakahash: 4月7日に米CDCはCOVID-19のアールノートを試算。これまでよりずっと高いRo=5.7という数字を出した。これをふまえて、Ro=5.7で考えたのかもしれない。 https://t.co/O19JOVV3gZ https://t.…
RT @BagalueSunab: High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Abstract Severe acute respirator…
High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Abstract Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 is the causative agent of the 2019 novel coronavirus disease pandemic. https://t.co/oKio2enSRX
@DrJarlov @EEID_oxford Re-examination of Wuhan put it at 5.7 https://t.co/SXPBDa7ynl
It took 5 months to study the Wuhan data properly. Don't expect studies of European data before November. https://t.co/Xj6QqExTm6
RT @LaMicroMola: @ligero999 @Amonterodel Muy bueno, como siempre! Dos detalles, el R0 se recalculó recientemente en 5.7 https://t.co/NTjJi…
RT @frasmcm: This is a strange mistake to make, given, as @bjornsing points out, comfortably >90% of people in Wuhan have never been infect…
RT @aaronklemz: At R0 = 5.7, 4 out of 5 Minnesotans would need to be infected and recover in order to acheive "herd immunity." That's a lot…
@NNijsingh @WolfieChristl pre-published last week "The economy" what ever this 'thing' really is, is pretty fucked any way, i think. consider this cdc study on NPI & R0 Estimate. R0 5.7 => 81% immunity needed to get herd immunity Simulating it w/
@iantaylorCC @business Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/EpbU92fHc2 via @CDCgov
@saltymarine80 @speculawyer @CNNPolitics he is quoted to have said more sensible things later on... anyways, I am of the opinion that #SARSCoV2 is extremely dangerous & just bc we hve signs that we may be able to control it with extreme measures doses
RT @aaronklemz: At R0 = 5.7, 4 out of 5 Minnesotans would need to be infected and recover in order to acheive "herd immunity." That's a lot…
@saltymarine80 @speculawyer @CNNPolitics 2/2 The middle line is likely close to the level of physical distancing & quarantine that needs to be held up as NPI to control this #SARSCoV2 infection (cdc study w/ R0 5.7, 20% undetected positive (German da
RT @BodoKnudsen: This study based on Chinese data suggest COVID-19 may be a lot more contagious than initially thought with R0 value of 5.7…