RT @influenzer3: 今回、武漢でのアウトブレイクの変数を変えて再計算し、Ro= 5.7(3.8-8.9)としています。 High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrom…
@ScottGottliebMD If the R0 is 5.7 per CDC, herd immunity threshold is 82%. R0-1/R0 https://t.co/fKQ1if0Coo
6〜9日のシリアル間隔を想定して、 Roの中央値を計算した値は5.7(95%CI 3.8–8.9)。 さらに、ウイルスの感染を防ぐには積極的な監視、接触先の追跡、検疫、および初期の強力な社会的距離を隔てる取り組みが必要である。
武漢での集団発生の初期のダイナミクスの最初の推定では感染者数が2倍になる時間は6〜7日、基本生殖数(Ro)は2.2〜2.7。中国全体の広範な個別症例報告を収集し、潜伏期間を含む主要な疫学的パラメーターを推定。武漢の流行の初期の倍加時間は2.3〜3.3日であった。 https://t.co/DIT0g9JlCC
Study indicating COVID-19 may be more contagious than previously thought: https://t.co/j4cliLLBcf
RT @normanswan: Just one study but scary if true. Social distancing is the main defence. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acu…
@michaeljburry using Chinese data, Los Alamos / cdc get an R0 of 5.7. Using Chinese data. If the people looking after the US nukes are this easily misled, I’m now more worried about a nuclear accident than I am about covid
RT @DrEricDing: 🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R…
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @bstrand: @zeynep Thank you @jeremyphoward, @zeynep, et al for this work. Ever more important if this estimate of an R0 of 5.7 for COVI…
@zeynep Thank you @jeremyphoward, @zeynep, et al for this work. Ever more important if this estimate of an R0 of 5.7 for COVID-19 proves accurate. https://t.co/FHIodOgoiA
RT @Anthony18694706: Justified reasons to think about these new preliminary data. R0 higher than initially calculated. From 2.5 to 5.7. htt…
@Timeo_Danaos @MedicusFR @RDuvont Je suis très étonné qu’on n’en aie si peu entendu parler. https://t.co/Ymkut2Rzoh
RT @VesuviaAdelia: R0 defined as the average number of secondary cases attributable to infection by an index case after that case is introd…
#QuedateEnCasa #CoronavirusEnUruguay estudios sugieren que el r0 - número de reproduccion- del coronavirus no es 2.2 sino 5.7. Cuanto más grande este número, más dificil de controlar la pandemia. Espero que los expertos de Uruguay lo tomen en cuenta a la
@joebob75645284 @r9rqngpLnWqwPCS Median R0 5.7 as per CDC https://t.co/hTvvqDWGWz
RT @johnmcclean_ie: @astaines Simon Harris stated an initial Re of 4 at one of his updates. CDC estimated R0 of 5.7 recently - https://t.co…
@sf79 @ronaldocaiado já que vc pediu, segue do CDC: (R0) 2.2–2.7 https://t.co/yU0g7LzgWX.
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @AgnesAyton: The reality is that the virus will be spreading fastest in hospitals. We need maximum infection control strategies - High C…
@astaines Simon Harris stated an initial Re of 4 at one of his updates. CDC estimated R0 of 5.7 recently - https://t.co/GTA01nsGlf
@ObolerfanII @BearingTruth @EricTopol This isn't H1N1. R0 Basic Reproduction Number R0 H1N1 1.33 (https://t.co/QnKqrXGZfj) R0 #SARSCoV2 5.7 (https://t.co/uSP9LvQzPv) https://t.co/VhTVWQrG7p
More bad news #COVID19 High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of SARS-CoV-2 https://t.co/MtdXFCoN9C
RT @normanswan: Just one study but scary if true. Social distancing is the main defence. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acu…
Direkte Relevanz für das #Leopoldina Papier. Wir wissen nicht mal die genaue R-Zahl für #coronavirus, wollen aber Entscheidungen auf der Basis von #Modellen treffen. Unter #Unsicherheit gilt die Prämisse der #Risikominimierung: #Masks4All, #SocialDistancin
RT @sudha_lakshmi: @BaldingsWorld And the paper with, imo, the most plausible estimate of R0 in Wuhan is basically by physicists. No one to…
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
The R0 (reproduction number) was originally estimated at 2.2 to 2.7, the revised R0 by Las Alamos puts it at 4.7 to 6.6. This was determined by a report released on 7 APRIL 20. https://t.co/hUETO2EUMq
RT @p_openshaw: Doubling time early in Wuhan was 2.3-3.3 days. Assuming serial interval of 6-9 days, calculated R0 of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8-8.9).…
@BearingTruth @EricTopol 🤷♂️(not that I think you might change your mind, that you will need to do on your own) the information is there, act on it. This is NOT a partisan issue.) 👇https://t.co/uSP9LvQzPv
RT @PierceWhites: @jmnemes @phillipmbailey @GovAndyBeshear And @jmnemes if you can't read this critical COVID update and make resulting pol…
@jmnemes @phillipmbailey @GovAndyBeshear And @jmnemes if you can't read this critical COVID update and make resulting policy judgments, then shut up and quit pretending. The virus is not impressed with your posing. https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
R0 defined as the average number of secondary cases attributable to infection by an index case after that case is introduced into a susceptible population. R0 "5.7" is bad news, friends, stay vigilant.
RT @SusanKelly18: @kurteichenwald @texyellowdogdem A report that came out on April 7th put the R nought at 5.7. This disease is so terribl…
RT @SusanKelly18: @kurteichenwald @texyellowdogdem A report that came out on April 7th put the R nought at 5.7. This disease is so terribl…
@LiutoGiusto Probabile. https://t.co/27slMzemie
#R0 is much higher than initially estimated! New estimated #R0 is 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9, with incubation period 4.2 days, onset to hospitalization 1.5 days, onset to death 16.1 days, #doublingtime 2.3–3.3 days. Sanche et al. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Jul. ht
@kurteichenwald @texyellowdogdem A report that came out on April 7th put the R nought at 5.7. This disease is so terrible precisely because of its contagion factor+ high viral load. 'Assuming a serial interval of 6–9 days, we calculated a median R0 value
RT @drnickmann: "R0 value of *5.7* (95% CI 3.8-8.9). We further show that active surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine, and early stron…
RT @DogICUma: This is extremely worrying. If the virus is really as contagious as this article suggests, it will very hard to stop it. htt…
RT @sudha_lakshmi: @BaldingsWorld And the paper with, imo, the most plausible estimate of R0 in Wuhan is basically by physicists. No one to…
RT @mor_maew: เดี๋ยวค่อยๆพิมพ์ แต่ใครสนใจอาจจะลองอ่าน https://t.co/sKGMSLd0kK ดูก่อน
@doshancos Questo, giusto? https://t.co/2Z4NY8S1Mv https://t.co/pwsiBO62X4
@TomMayerEuropa @RablPeter Auf Basis dieser Abschätzung wurde dann evaluiert wie die Rate der unbekannten infizierten Maßnahmen wie Kontaktreduzierung und Quarantäne beeinflusst. https://t.co/uSP9LvQzPv https://t.co/XHNZEGyWAf
@senatemajldr Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
Research from the US the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, though suggest R0 is as high as 5.7 https://t.co/jjr0l677r9
@chrisvcsefalvay @bindureddy @GermHunterMD Hmmm. Unmitigated R0 of 5.7--lots of implications. https://t.co/5RsFWiu8Um
RT @moorejh: High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/jVUM8gmTfq #covid19
RT @LeilaniMunter: If the R0 of coronavirus is 5.7, this changes the whole game. Larry Brilliant is an epidemiologist and was a consultant…
Justified reasons to think about these new preliminary data. R0 higher than initially calculated. From 2.5 to 5.7. https://t.co/VF43T29AOi
RT @nataliexdean: Estimated R0 of 5.7 is much higher than what other studies have returned. When a model yields a strikingly different conc…
@le_science4all R0=5,7 soit un peu plus de 82% https://t.co/xfs0X9C72J
RT @moorejh: High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/jVUM8gmTfq #covid19
@omahas Did you think I pulled 5.7 as an R0 for coronavirus out of my ass? https://t.co/apHdw8RJF0 Lady, I ain't riskin' my life on my on days to argue with you on my off days, especially when I don't see you even bothering to google.
Some answers to number discrepancies from @MiloLabWIS https://t.co/zlirkaY6XQ
RT @drgbarrette: Vraiment pas une bonne nouvelle. C'est le genre de donnée qui expliquerait encore plus les débordements des systèmes de sa…
RT @moorejh: High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/jVUM8gmTfq #covid19
High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/jVUM8gmTfq #covid19
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @pick291: Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 👀👀👀👀 High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome #Coronavirus…
Thread. As for tweet #3, mods by early release of an EID article (https://t.co/TvXzvp73qR) show the doubling time was 2.3-3.3 days at the beginning of the endemic in Wuhan. 3-4 days does not sound surprising.
RT @thommason: Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number…
@Rschooley @kimmasters There have also been reports in the last few days -- including a peer-reviewed study that was posted on the CDC website -- that suggest the R(0) might be as high as 5.7. That is nightmarish. https://t.co/0Ea4CLjlQn
RT @Luis_I_Gomez: El trabajo de Steven Sanche et. al. del Los Alamos National Laboratory en USA, se basa en numerosos "case reports" prodec…
RT @PierceWhites: @GOPJake @AndyBeshearKY @KyDems Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBL…
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @bairdjulia: "We further show that active surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine, and early strong social distancing efforts are need…
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC Se propone que su R0 es de 5.7 (3.8-8.9) https://t.co/fIDvn31ydj a través d
RT @nursingdean: High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/clhhrwp9zg
@GOPJake @AndyBeshearKY @KyDems Cause actual scientists and doctors seem to think it is very important. Do you understand why? Or is this why they placed you nincompoops in critical positions of trust, knowing you would screw up? https://t.co/Ilrgv9BaXR
RT @Luis_I_Gomez: El trabajo de Steven Sanche et. al. del Los Alamos National Laboratory en USA, se basa en numerosos "case reports" prodec…
@GOPJake @AndyBeshearKY @KyDems Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
RT @bairdjulia: "We further show that active surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine, and early strong social distancing efforts are need…
@phillipmbailey @GovAndyBeshear @KYGOP Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
RT @normanswan: Just one study but scary if true. Social distancing is the main defence. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acu…
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
@TestigoDirecto Información de. Epidemiologos de varios centros de EEUU muestran los estudios y los reportes realizados en china y su análisis Sirve para evitar más FAKE NEWS como a su programa le encanta Vale la pena que lo analice https://t.co/qkFMq5E
The CDC is proposing "active surveillance" to deal with spread of coronavirus https://t.co/t0fqzVTGwH
RT @Gargotejant: Calculen ara que la R0 del nou coronavirus seria de 5,7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9). Això implicaria que la immunitat de grup s'assol…
RT @normanswan: Just one study but scary if true. Social distancing is the main defence. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acu…
RT @altNOAA: R0 value is 5.7. That's insane. #COVID19 https://t.co/K50cmmfqsS https://t.co/7cJajdMFFV
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @groeschc: Das ist.....ungut, wenn das so stimmen sollte.
"...we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9)" https://t.co/yDehsfH9el
@JukeBaRosh @maskupfolks @SylvainCF @roinnslainte @CMOIreland @CcoHse @ronan_glynn @CillianDeGascun @SimonHarrisTD @FergalBowers @newschambers @susmitchellSBP @GeorgeLeeRTE That is a 30% reduction in infections per transmission generation. This is huuuge.
RT @vaTCFJOUy5yDG0i: 新型コロナウイルスは、なぜ爆発的な感染拡大するのでしょうか? 最新の論文ではひとりの感染者が5.7人に感染させる、と計算しています。感染者が直接感染させる平均人数を「基本再生産数Ro [アールノート]」と言います。麻しんは12、天然痘…
RT @SammerTang: Let’s hope this is an exceptional pessimistic modeling to calculate R0 for SARS-COV-2. R0 of 5.7 is nearly double on what w…
@CarloPonzi @RosanaScaringi @voumemandar @veramagalhaes A ciência calcula o índice de reprodutividade de virus desde 1952... Tá aí o cálculo, se quiser contestar, sinta-se a vontade... https://t.co/ipCSGnBKxg
@DanielPhife @epsilon3141 @FordPrefect747 No, you're thinking of the recent study by a group from Los Alamos that put the median R0 estimate at 5.7 - https://t.co/Kt3ytQLRLx
RT @leahmcelrath: 🚨IMPORTANT🚨 Peer-reviewed research from @CDCgov now estimates much higher transmissibility for #COVID19 than previously…
RT @larrybrilliant: Here’s paper suggesting COVID19 r0 is really 5.7 not 2.2. This upends our hope that “merely” vaccinating or infecting…
RT @AgnesAyton: The reality is that the virus will be spreading fastest in hospitals. We need maximum infection control strategies - High C…
@FatEmperor Yes, all coronaviruses, thought to have come from bats, but COVID-19 MUCH more contagious https://t.co/oNHYSAX806 and people are asymptomatic before transmission or completely asymptomatic and still carry viral load
RT @vaTCFJOUy5yDG0i: 新型コロナウイルスは、なぜ爆発的な感染拡大するのでしょうか? 最新の論文ではひとりの感染者が5.7人に感染させる、と計算しています。感染者が直接感染させる平均人数を「基本再生産数Ro [アールノート]」と言います。麻しんは12、天然痘…
RT @Luis_I_Gomez: El trabajo de Steven Sanche et. al. del Los Alamos National Laboratory en USA, se basa en numerosos "case reports" prodec…