Examples of the proportion of COVID-19 asymptomatics: •1.1% from the CCDC cross sectional study, Feb. 11. The criteria for inclusion was presence of symptoms. The only surprise is that they found any asymptomatic carrier. See https://t.co/dTiqzLgx1s
@ColleenBridger COVID is as or more contagious than measles. Asymptomatics balloons R0. Estimates of COVID-19 asymptomatics vary from 1.1% to 88% (https://t.co/EkVQdAnqFT). A group from Los Alamos (https://t.co/dkQYQA2Umq) published an estimate of 5.7 wit
RT @bjornsing: Ja det är mycket bekymrande att @Folkhalsomynd pratar om att SARS-CoV-2 har ett R0 på bara 2.5 i Sverige, och att de (fortsa…
This is why only drastic and strictly enforced #physicaldistancing can bring the R0 down from 5.7 to under 1!
RT @romanyaUY: #QuedateEnCasa #CoronavirusEnUruguay estudios sugieren que el r0 - número de reproduccion- del coronavirus no es 2.2 sino 5.…
RT @bjornsing: Ja det är mycket bekymrande att @Folkhalsomynd pratar om att SARS-CoV-2 har ett R0 på bara 2.5 i Sverige, och att de (fortsa…
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/qOu3ZOmmeF via @CDCgov
RT @Ramuller5: @N0l30DYKN0WS @franceinfo Surtout que le R0 a été revu fortement à la hausse annoncé à 2,5 au début de la pandémie. Il serai…
RT @maiamajumder: So, a new #COVID19 paper [https://t.co/gOCkSTC9mi] recently estimated a median R_0 of 5.7 based off of data from Wuhan.…
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @DrEricDing: 🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R…
RT @DoctorCasado: La contagiosidad del #covid19 probablemente sea más alta de lo que pensábamos. #siapCovid19
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @DoctorCasado: La contagiosidad del #covid19 probablemente sea más alta de lo que pensábamos. #siapCovid19
@ritaignate @marisciruliss Nē, pasaulē ir vismaz 10x vairāk Covid gadījumi, 1.9m no tiem ir pārbaudīti ar testu. Visi modeļi bija bāzēti uz R0 < 3, tagad apstiprinās, ka tas skaitlis ir daudz lielāks, kas nozīmē izplatība notiek daudz straujāk. https://
RT @DoctorCasado: La contagiosidad del #covid19 probablemente sea más alta de lo que pensábamos. #siapCovid19
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
@RealCandaceO @WholeFoods If you don't know by now then you've had your head up your butt Thread👇🏻 https://t.co/wltPDQNkMu
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
@ameliarueda @marcar71 La tasa de contagio, o R₀ es muy variable según el contexto social donde se esté desarrollando el virus, lejos del promedio global que uds indican, en EEUU se ha calculado en 5.7!! https://t.co/yI9OuXIN97
@altNOAA @FmrMasshole I think it was this one? https://t.co/1lRwwJ9K4V
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @DrEricDing: 🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R…
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
RT @jburcum: Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some…
Just came across this. Credible research suggesting the R0 for COVID19 could be 5.7, much higher than initially thought. Some implications: much more infectious than thought and would require higher % of population to have had to attain "herd immunity." ht
Ja det är mycket bekymrande att @Folkhalsomynd pratar om att SARS-CoV-2 har ett R0 på bara 2.5 i Sverige, och att de (fortsatt?) tror att bara 50% av befolkningen behöver infekteras innan vi uppnår #flockimmunitet (vilket implicerar R0 ~ 2). Hur många äldr
cc #EpiTwitter
This is a strange mistake to make, given, as @bjornsing points out, comfortably >90% of people in Wuhan have never been infected with the virus. Worryingly, new evidence suggests that the population threshold for herd immunity is >80%. https://t.co/
@philtvnews @WKYT @WYMT Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
@rkahne Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
@drdesrochers Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
@mhgrayson @mikelonergan85 Why can't @senatemajldr & @KYGOP understand this new paper? MASSIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC POLICY. @GovAndyBeshear is on the right track. Stop disruptive tactics RPK; RETHINK.https://t.co/r6VpDVJnIy
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
@MantralayaRoom @drharshvardhan
RT @vaTCFJOUy5yDG0i: 新型コロナウイルスは、なぜ爆発的な感染拡大するのでしょうか? 最新の論文ではひとりの感染者が5.7人に感染させる、と計算しています。感染者が直接感染させる平均人数を「基本再生産数Ro [アールノート]」と言います。麻しんは12、天然痘…
RT @spike_sr71: R0 =5.7 questo ha grosse conseguenze sul lockdown e possibilità di successo del tracing https://t.co/1ORuzA79Px
R0 =5.7 questo ha grosse conseguenze sul lockdown e possibilità di successo del tracing https://t.co/1ORuzA79Px
@AriDavidPaul https://t.co/fqv39cV3Vy via CDC, R0 could be substantially higher (5+) vs initial estimates in the 2’s, but that doesn’t necessarily make things better (only if a whole swath of cases has been mild and under the radar)
I wish the best to your family member who was affected by the wuhan China 🇨🇳 virus Hope she get well soon enough #godspeed from Spain 🇪🇸.
RT @misscoca2464: @martinacharb @PierreL72440756 @Drmartyufml Très bon billet comme d'hab Martina mais les 60 % nécessaires pour une immuni…
Great info High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/TCwQg8zCES https://t.co/idOEaKnjZr
High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 https://t.co/BXBbyNjrqI
RT @DrEricDing: 🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R…
6/9 We don't yet know the R0 for COVID. Initially, estimates were between 1.5-3.5. However, a more recent study by CDC (https://t.co/0UqFDSs3qF…) estimates it much higher at ~5.7....
RT @vaTCFJOUy5yDG0i: 新型コロナウイルスは、なぜ爆発的な感染拡大するのでしょうか? 最新の論文ではひとりの感染者が5.7人に感染させる、と計算しています。感染者が直接感染させる平均人数を「基本再生産数Ro [アールノート]」と言います。麻しんは12、天然痘…
@RealCandaceO R0 matters-- contagiousness (which we keep learning to modify assessment) https://t.co/kpDOEmeGly Death rate is not the only driver. Questioning is a good idea-- but let's learn too.
Now, here's what nasty about covid-19: we have no idea what the serial interval is. Some say it is about 4 days: https://t.co/yeblfkquYh Others assume 6-9 days: https://t.co/8vcI3LRlVZ (3/9)
I risultati mostrano che il tempo di raddoppio all'inizio dell'epidemia a Wuhan era tra 2.3 e 3.3 giorni. Considerando un intervallo di 6-9 giorni, abbiamo calcolato un valor medio di R0 di 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9) Se stiamo messi così fa davvero caldo. http
RT @DogICUma: This is extremely worrying. If the virus is really as contagious as this article suggests, it will very hard to stop it. htt…
RT @CDC_EIDjournal: High contagiousness and rapid spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome #coronavirus 2, #EIDjournal, https://t.co/b8A…
@OttawaCitizen Here is the research, it will have it's final release in July so expect edits. You can hypothese the flimsy metrics for yourself and come to any number of conclusions. https://t.co/3tG0JfVghB #SensationalizeTheHeadline #SellTheDrama #DontBu
RT @vaTCFJOUy5yDG0i: 新型コロナウイルスは、なぜ爆発的な感染拡大するのでしょうか? 最新の論文ではひとりの感染者が5.7人に感染させる、と計算しています。感染者が直接感染させる平均人数を「基本再生産数Ro [アールノート]」と言います。麻しんは12、天然痘…
RT @NCIDirector: Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Numbe…
Hello @tomaspueyo and @PeterAttiaMD https://t.co/Xvqhg1rIIN wanted to send this your way. Here, R0 looks grim (above 5). As always, much interested in your thoughts. Again, greetings from 🇲🇽
@jocko11811 @michaeljburry Birx isn't sure the sun rises in the East. Definitive article on R0. https://t.co/LCmGeWzzZV Flu has an R0 value of ~ 1.3. With R0 that low relatively modest measures can suppress community spread.
Uh-oh!
RT @DrEricDing: 🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R…
@TheSeanNance https://t.co/pXm79mY05p Higher now... 😔
@N0l30DYKN0WS @franceinfo Surtout que le R0 a été revu fortement à la hausse annoncé à 2,5 au début de la pandémie. Il serait plus proche de 5,7 ! https://t.co/05Jb4Sk4FP
RT @True_Chipmunk: Раніше думали, що SARS-COV-2 дуже заразний, бо його базове репродукційне число дорівнює 3. Кожен хворий заражає ще 3 осо…
RT @YanzhongHuang: This research estimates that R0 for COVID-19 is 5.7, which means that more than 82% of the population has to be immune,…
RT @YanzhongHuang: This research estimates that R0 for COVID-19 is 5.7, which means that more than 82% of the population has to be immune,…
@martinacharb @PierreL72440756 @Drmartyufml Très bon billet comme d'hab Martina mais les 60 % nécessaires pour une immunité collective ne concernent pas SARS-CoV-2. Selon cette etude ci dessous, il faudrait un minimum de 82 % pour voir enfin le bout du tun
RT @Vadeboncoeur_Al: @mathbernier @delphineroigt Surtout si le RO est plus élevé qu'on pensait, soit a 5.7, ce qui demanderait une immunité…
@basileuspingu @Birdyword @DAaronovitch Difficult to argue with that -- but what is your point -- The figures will start to drop soon as a result of the lockdown reducing the "R" value from well over 3 to maybe 1.5 -- the next few months would be unthinkab
RT @DrEricDing: 🚨New higher R0 from CDC reanalysis... it’s a 5.7!🚨(95% Confidence Interval: 3.8–8.9). Wowzers. This much higher #SARSCoV2 R…
RT @Vadeboncoeur_Al: @mathbernier @delphineroigt Surtout si le RO est plus élevé qu'on pensait, soit a 5.7, ce qui demanderait une immunité…
Early Release - High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 - Volume 26, Number 7—July 2020 - Emerging Infectious Diseases journal - CDC https://t.co/7jPG5uQhSI @CDCgovさんから
RT @orientis312: R0=5.7なんて、めちゃくちゃ感染力が強い! 今までの報告の2倍。地域差があるのだろうか。 #Covid_19 #新型コロナウイルス
R0 of CV was originally thought to be between 2.2 and 2.7.. its now thought to be as high as 5.7 https://t.co/RD3q45FVgq
@heidi_news Attention Heidi, le R0 n'est toujours pas déterminé et il pourrait être bien supérieur à 2.5[1]. A 5.7 le seuil d'immunité est à 82%, pas 60% donc évitez de mentionner une valeur pour l'instant (et continuez votre bon journalisme sur le sujet).
RT @mr_alealejandro: @teozka eso me recuerda esta pre-publicación que coloca Ro en 5.7: https://t.co/LxLWtONuRe
RT @DoctorCasado: La contagiosidad del #covid19 probablemente sea más alta de lo que pensábamos. #siapCovid19
@teozka eso me recuerda esta pre-publicación que coloca Ro en 5.7: https://t.co/LxLWtONuRe
RT @trishgreenhalgh: I don't want to worry anyone but the R0 of COVID-19 isn't 2.5, it's closer to 5.7. MT @birdxi1988 @yaneerbaryam ht…
RT @DoctorCasado: La contagiosidad del #covid19 probablemente sea más alta de lo que pensábamos. #siapCovid19
La contagiosidad del #covid19 probablemente sea más alta de lo que pensábamos. #siapCovid19
RT @normanswan: Just one study but scary if true. Social distancing is the main defence. High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acu…
@ASlavitt not disagreeing with the study, disagreeing with your conclusions https://t.co/gJwHdnv22B
@ASlavitt Andy those 15 % don't do what you claim. if anything they make MORE strict physical contact avoidance and quarantine necessary See CDC study from last week. https://t.co/uSP9LvQzPv https://t.co/EeVmRqcJHa
RT @CaptainAV: #R0 is much higher than initially estimated! New estimated #R0 is 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9, with incubation period 4.2 days, ons…
RT @altNOAA: R0 value is 5.7. That's insane. #COVID19 https://t.co/K50cmmfqsS https://t.co/7cJajdMFFV
RT @Vadeboncoeur_Al: @mathbernier @delphineroigt Surtout si le RO est plus élevé qu'on pensait, soit a 5.7, ce qui demanderait une immunité…
@mathbernier @delphineroigt Surtout si le RO est plus élevé qu'on pensait, soit a 5.7, ce qui demanderait une immunité de 83% des gens pour bloquer la propagation, comme le mentionne ce papier inquiétant du CDC... https://t.co/svSfq704wq
@rudifussi @sbeigl Viel mehr kann lesen R0 Abschätzung mit Chinesischen Daten durch das US CDC R0 5.7 https://t.co/uSP9LvQzPv
RT @CaptainAV: #R0 is much higher than initially estimated! New estimated #R0 is 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9, with incubation period 4.2 days, ons…
@suvyboy @DARogers2010 CDC thinks it might even be as high as 8.9. https://t.co/2DcwU3kz2y
@rudifussi Ich empfehle die Fachliteratur zu befragen bevor ma so crudes China bashing betreibt. R0 KANN (im Moment) NUR GESCHÄTZT WERDEN R0 #SARSCoV2 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9) https://t.co/uSP9LvQzPv https://t.co/cc0Wq0ARZy
RT @CaptainAV: #R0 is much higher than initially estimated! New estimated #R0 is 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9, with incubation period 4.2 days, ons…
@mainejosh actually, that's not even... hang tight. Here is the CDC one which derives the 5.7: https://t.co/To26rrxfpB
A group of authors studied the outbreak dynamics in Wuhan by using high-resolution domestic travel and infection data. They recommend active surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine, and early strong social distancing to stop transmission of the virus. ht